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Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Nagasaki €13.62m
Full time 2 : 2
Gamba Osaka €15.65m
1 3.10
X 3.30
2 2.47

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.41 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nagasaki 22%@3.10
Draw 20%@3.30
Gamba Osaka 58%@2.47
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 69%@1.30
Under 1.5 31%@2.89
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.71
No 41%@2.18
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 56%@1.75
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NagasakiModelGamba Osaka
0.83xG1.01
45%Ball possession55%
8Shots12
3Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
7Fouls made12
NagasakiRealGamba Osaka
2.09xG1.68
44%Ball possession56%
20Shots16
10Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
9Fouls made11
NagasakiReal · ModelGamba Osaka
2.090.83xG1.681.01
44%45%Ball possession56%55%
208Shots1612
103Shots on goal67
54Corner kicks54
21Yellow cards11
12Offside calls11
97Fouls made1112

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NagasakiPer gameGamba Osaka
1.0Goals for / game2.2
1.2Goals against / game1.2
44%Ball possession55%
7.4Shots per game12.3
3.0Corners per game3.9
0.59Expected goals1.06

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NagasakiRateGamba Osaka
50%Wins60%
50%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nagasaki LDWWL
L 29 Sept Gainare Tottori Nagasaki 2 0 10.00 1.32
D 19 Sept Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 1 3.00 2.30
W 12 Sept Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 2 0 3.60 1.95
W 9 Sept Kochi United Nagasaki 0 1 4.70 1.65
L 6 Sept Vissel Kobe Nagasaki 3 1 1.62 5.50
L 29 Aug Nagasaki FC Tokyo 0 3 5.70 1.60
W 26 Aug Nagasaki Ehime 3 2 1.29 8.50
L 21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol Nagasaki 1 0 1.45 7.60
L 15 Aug Okayama Nagasaki 1 0 1.77 5.00
W 9 Aug Nagasaki Kyoto 2 1 3.40 2.30
Gamba Osaka LWLWL
L 3 Oct Kashiwa Reysol Gamba Osaka 5 4 1.62 4.75
W 23 Sept Gamba Osaka Tokushima 5 0 1.48 6.80
L 20 Sept Gamba Osaka Vissel Kobe 0 1 3.45 2.10
W 15 Sept Gamba Osaka(Jpn) Cong An Ha Noi(Vie) 4 1 1.44 7.00
L 12 Sept Gamba Osaka FC Tokyo 0 2 3.90 1.89
L 6 Sept Chiba Gamba Osaka 2 0 3.70 2.07
D 29 Aug Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce 0 0 4.60 1.68
W 26 Aug Gamba Osaka Biwako Shiga 2 0 1.05 38.00
L 22 Aug Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka 3 1 2.32 2.95
D 15 Aug Mito Gamba Osaka 1 1 2.65 2.70

Past meetings

Nagasaki
0·2·1
Gamba Osaka
  • Apr 2026 Nagasaki 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
  • Mar 2026 Gamba Osaka 3 - 2 Nagasaki
  • Feb 2025 Gamba Osaka 5 - 5 Nagasaki

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
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