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Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Nagasaki €13.62m
Full time 0 : 3
FC Tokyo €17.15m
1 5.70
X 4.10
2 1.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
64%Chance
FC Tokyo win 2 Odds @1.60 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nagasaki 15%@5.70
Draw 21%@4.10
FC Tokyo 64%@1.60
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 72%@1.28
Under 1.5 28%@3.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.90
No 40%@1.91
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 67%@1.41
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NagasakiModelFC Tokyo
1.01xG1.71
46%Ball possession54%
8Shots18
3Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
8Fouls made11
NagasakiRealFC Tokyo
0.16xG1.41
51%Ball possession49%
5Shots13
1Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
6Fouls made11
NagasakiReal · ModelFC Tokyo
0.161.01xG1.411.71
51%46%Ball possession49%54%
58Shots1318
13Shots on goal68
73Corner kicks36
21Yellow cards11
21Offside calls12
68Fouls made1111

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NagasakiPer gameFC Tokyo
1.2Goals for / game1.6
1.1Goals against / game1.5
43%Ball possession51%
8.4Shots per game17.1
2.8Corners per game5.9
0.81Expected goals1.50

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NagasakiRateFC Tokyo
50%Wins30%
50%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nagasaki LDWWL
L 29 Sept Gainare Tottori Nagasaki 2 0 10.00 1.32
D 19 Sept Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 1 3.00 2.30
W 12 Sept Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 2 0 3.60 1.95
W 9 Sept Kochi United Nagasaki 0 1 4.70 1.65
L 6 Sept Vissel Kobe Nagasaki 3 1 1.62 5.50
D 2 Sept Nagasaki Gamba Osaka 2 2 3.10 2.47
W 26 Aug Nagasaki Ehime 3 2 1.29 8.50
L 21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol Nagasaki 1 0 1.45 7.60
L 15 Aug Okayama Nagasaki 1 0 1.77 5.00
W 9 Aug Nagasaki Kyoto 2 1 3.40 2.30
FC Tokyo WWWWD
W 29 Sept Ehime FC Tokyo 0 2 17.00 1.14
W 19 Sept FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus 1 0 1.55 5.80
W 12 Sept Gamba Osaka FC Tokyo 0 2 3.90 1.89
W 6 Sept FC Tokyo Kyoto 2 0 1.54 6.20
D 2 Sept Shimizu S-Pulse FC Tokyo 1 1 5.10 1.71
W 26 Aug FC Tokyo Nagano 6 0 1.13 23.00
W 21 Aug FC Tokyo Chiba 2 0 1.50 6.30
D 15 Aug Vissel Kobe FC Tokyo 2 2 2.25 3.30
L 8 Aug FC Tokyo Machida 1 5 2.40 3.40
D 1 Aug FC Tokyo Dortmund 0 0 3.25 2.07

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
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