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Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka prediction — J1 League

J1 League · Japan
Nagasaki €13.62m
Full time 1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka €15.40m
1 3.00
X 3.40
2 2.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
71%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.27 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nagasaki 25%@3.00
Draw 43%@3.40
Cerezo Osaka 32%@2.30
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 71%@1.27
Under 1.5 29%@3.11
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.66
No 44%@2.18
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@1.52
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NagasakiModelCerezo Osaka
1.28xG0.88
45%Ball possession55%
11Shots11
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made9
NagasakiRealCerezo Osaka
1.55xG1.92
44%Ball possession56%
14Shots17
1Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
6Offside calls1
10Fouls made9
NagasakiReal · ModelCerezo Osaka
1.551.28xG1.920.88
44%45%Ball possession56%55%
1411Shots1711
14Shots on goal63
74Corner kicks45
22Yellow cards31
61Offside calls11
1010Fouls made99

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NagasakiPer gameCerezo Osaka
1.3Goals for / game1.0
1.3Goals against / game1.2
46%Ball possession56%
10.0Shots per game10.4
4.0Corners per game5.1
1.07Expected goals0.73

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NagasakiRateCerezo Osaka
50%Wins50%
70%Over 1.550%
50%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nagasaki LWWLD
L 29 Sept Gainare Tottori Nagasaki 2 0 10.00 1.32
W 12 Sept Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus 2 0 3.60 1.95
W 9 Sept Kochi United Nagasaki 0 1 4.70 1.65
L 6 Sept Vissel Kobe Nagasaki 3 1 1.62 5.50
D 2 Sept Nagasaki Gamba Osaka 2 2 3.10 2.47
L 29 Aug Nagasaki FC Tokyo 0 3 5.70 1.60
W 26 Aug Nagasaki Ehime 3 2 1.29 8.50
L 21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol Nagasaki 1 0 1.45 7.60
L 15 Aug Okayama Nagasaki 1 0 1.77 5.00
W 9 Aug Nagasaki Kyoto 2 1 3.40 2.30
Cerezo Osaka WLDWL
W 29 Sept Fujieda MYFC Cerezo Osaka 1 2 5.75 1.50
L 12 Sept Sanfrecce Cerezo Osaka 6 1 1.67 4.90
D 6 Sept Cerezo Osaka Verdy 0 0 1.71 5.10
W 2 Sept Cerezo Osaka Kashiwa Reysol 2 0 3.40 2.08
L 29 Aug Vissel Kobe Cerezo Osaka 1 0 2.42 3.15
W 26 Aug Cerezo Osaka Gifu 3 1 1.32 8.60
D 22 Aug Cerezo Osaka Shimizu S-Pulse 0 0 2.42 3.05
L 15 Aug Avispa Fukuoka Cerezo Osaka 3 0 2.67 2.65
W 8 Aug Cerezo Osaka Okayama 2 1 2.12 3.60
W 29 Jul Cerezo Osaka Dortmund 1 0 4.60 1.75

Past meetings

Nagasaki
1·0·1
Cerezo Osaka
  • May 2026 Cerezo Osaka 3 - 2 Nagasaki
  • Feb 2026 Nagasaki 1 - 0 Cerezo Osaka

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce 9 +15 20
2 Vissel Kobe 9 +7 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 9 +4 19
4 Machida 9 +11 18
5 FC Tokyo 9 +6 18
6 Yokohama 9 +4 15
7 Kashima 9 +1 14
8 Okayama 9 +1 14
9 Kawasaki 9 +3 13
10 Urawa 9 -2 13
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 -1 12
12 Mito 9 0 10
13 Cerezo Osaka 9 -6 10
14 Kyoto 9 -4 9
15 Nagasaki 9 -4 9
16 Gamba Osaka 9 -6 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 9 -7 7
18 Avispa Fukuoka 9 -3 5
19 Verdy 9 -8 5
20 Chiba 9 -11 5
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