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Nacional vs Libertad prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura

Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Nacional €8.73m
Full time 3 : 0
Libertad €23.58m
1 3.00
X 3.15
2 2.63

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
77%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.61 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 57%@3.00
Draw 20%@3.15
Libertad 23%@2.63
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 23%@5.39
Under 2.5 77%@1.61
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.92
No 41%@1.83
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.56
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Nacional ModelLibertad
1.08xG1.59
44%Ball possession56%
11Shots15
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls2
11Fouls made10
Nacional RealLibertad
2.31xG0.68
38%Ball possession62%
12Shots13
5Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made17
Nacional Real · ModelLibertad
2.311.08xG0.681.59
38%44%Ball possession62%56%
1211Shots1315
55Shots on goal27
34Corner kicks76
11Yellow cards21
13Offside calls12
1311Fouls made1710

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Nacional Per gameLibertad
1.6Goals for / game1.3
0.7Goals against / game0.9
50%Ball possession61%
11.8Shots per game15.1
4.3Corners per game6.5
1.10Expected goals1.49

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Nacional RateLibertad
50%Wins50%
90%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nacional DDWDL
D 30 Sept Independi Nacional 2 2 4.60 1.75
D 25 Sept Nacional Ameliano 1 1 1.91 4.30
W 18 Sept Nacional 2 de Mayo 3 0 1.72 5.40
D 13 Sept Rubio NU Nacional 0 0 3.45 2.30
L 7 Sept Cerro Porteno Nacional 1 0 2.35 3.25
W 28 Aug San Lorenzo Nacional 0 3 4.60 1.87
W 24 Aug Nacional Sp. Luqueno 2 0 2.20 3.90
W 18 Aug Benjamin Aceval Nacional 0 2 4.30 1.78
D 15 Aug Sportivo Nacional 1 1 2.75 2.70
D 9 Aug Nacional Guarani 0 0 2.12 3.60
Libertad LDDWW
L 28 Sept Libertad Olimpia 0 1 2.55 2.80
D 23 Sept Fernando Libertad 1 1 9.50 1.28
D 19 Sept Libertad Ameliano 1 1 1.75 4.80
W 11 Sept 2 de Mayo Libertad 0 2 3.85 2.02
W 6 Sept Libertad Rubio NU 4 2 1.62 5.20
D 30 Aug Cerro Porteno Libertad 1 1 2.35 3.55
W 24 Aug Libertad San Lorenzo 1 0 1.37 8.00
D 20 Aug Tacuary Libertad 0 0 13.00 1.16
W 16 Aug Sp. Luqueno Libertad 1 2 4.00 2.05
W 10 Aug Libertad Sportivo 2 1 2.30 3.70

Past meetings

Nacional
3·0·3
Libertad
  • May 2026 Nacional 2 - 1 Libertad
  • Mar 2026 Libertad 2 - 1 Nacional
  • Sept 2025 Nacional 3 - 1 Libertad
  • Jul 2025 Libertad 0 - 1 Nacional
  • Apr 2025 Libertad 1 - 0 Nacional
  • Jan 2025 Nacional 0 - 3 Libertad

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Olimpia 14 +11 27
2 Libertad 14 +6 25
3 2 de Mayo 14 +1 24
4 Nacional 14 +11 22
5 Sportivo 14 +9 22
6 Guarani 14 +4 22
7 Ameliano 14 +1 20
8 Cerro Porteno 14 +3 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 -9 15
10 Rubio NU 14 -9 12
11 Recoleta 14 -11 10
12 San Lorenzo 14 -17 4
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