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Nacional vs Ameliano prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura

1 1.91
X 3.40
2 4.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.67 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 56%@1.91
Draw 25%@3.40
Ameliano 19%@4.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 23%@5.59
Under 2.5 77%@1.67
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 29%@2.00
No 71%@1.76
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 81%@1.39
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Nacional ModelAmeliano
1.40xG1.00
49%Ball possession51%
13Shots10
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
Nacional RealAmeliano
1.90xG0.80
42%Ball possession58%
15Shots17
6Shots on goal5
12Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls3
6Fouls made6
Nacional Real · ModelAmeliano
1.901.40xG0.801.00
42%49%Ball possession58%51%
1513Shots1710
65Shots on goal54
124Corner kicks84
12Yellow cards12
22Offside calls32
613Fouls made611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Nacional Per gameAmeliano
1.6Goals for / game1.1
0.5Goals against / game1.1
51%Ball possession54%
12.0Shots per game12.3
3.6Corners per game3.7
1.23Expected goals1.11

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Nacional RateAmeliano
50%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nacional DWDLW
D 30 Sept Independi Nacional 2 2 4.60 1.75
W 18 Sept Nacional 2 de Mayo 3 0 1.72 5.40
D 13 Sept Rubio NU Nacional 0 0 3.45 2.30
L 7 Sept Cerro Porteno Nacional 1 0 2.35 3.25
W 2 Sept Nacional Libertad 3 0 3.00 2.63
W 28 Aug San Lorenzo Nacional 0 3 4.60 1.87
W 24 Aug Nacional Sp. Luqueno 2 0 2.20 3.90
W 18 Aug Benjamin Aceval Nacional 0 2 4.30 1.78
D 15 Aug Sportivo Nacional 1 1 2.75 2.70
D 9 Aug Nacional Guarani 0 0 2.12 3.60
Ameliano DWWLD
D 19 Sept Libertad Ameliano 1 1 1.75 4.80
W 11 Sept Ameliano San Lorenzo 1 0 1.75 4.70
W 6 Sept Sp. Luqueno Ameliano 1 2 3.05 2.45
L 2 Sept Ameliano Sportivo 0 3 2.70 2.70
D 30 Aug Guarani Ameliano 1 1 2.07 3.85
W 22 Aug Ameliano Recoleta 3 1 1.98 3.70
L 16 Aug Olimpia Ameliano 2 1 1.83 4.45
L 11 Aug Independi Ameliano 1 0 6.00 1.47
W 8 Aug Ameliano Cerro Porteno 1 0 3.65 2.12
D 1 Aug Ameliano 2 de Mayo 1 1 2.07 4.20

Past meetings

Nacional
1·3·2
Ameliano
  • Jul 2026 Ameliano 1 - 1 Nacional
  • Apr 2026 Ameliano 1 - 1 Nacional
  • Feb 2026 Nacional 1 - 1 Ameliano
  • Nov 2025 Nacional 2 - 0 Ameliano
  • Aug 2025 Ameliano 3 - 0 Nacional
  • May 2025 Nacional 0 - 1 Ameliano

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Olimpia 14 +11 27
2 Libertad 14 +6 25
3 2 de Mayo 14 +1 24
4 Nacional 14 +11 22
5 Sportivo 14 +9 22
6 Guarani 14 +4 22
7 Ameliano 14 +1 20
8 Cerro Porteno 14 +3 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 -9 15
10 Rubio NU 14 -9 12
11 Recoleta 14 -11 10
12 San Lorenzo 14 -17 4