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MVV vs Helmond prediction — Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV €4.40m
Full time 2 : 0
Helmond €4.57m
1 2.17
X 3.50
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.38 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
MVV 78%@2.17
Draw 11%@3.50
Helmond 11%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 82%@1.71
Under 2.5 18%@7.79
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.59
No 43%@2.27
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 82%@1.65
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MVVModelHelmond
1.14xG1.07
54%Ball possession46%
10Shots9
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
MVVRealHelmond
1.51xG1.81
54%Ball possession46%
15Shots11
2Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
9Fouls made14
MVVReal · ModelHelmond
1.511.14xG1.811.07
54%54%Ball possession46%46%
1510Shots119
24Shots on goal53
64Corner kicks24
12Yellow cards32
22Offside calls21
911Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MVVPer gameHelmond
1.1Goals for / game1.4
2.3Goals against / game1.5
53%Ball possession43%
9.3Shots per game9.9
3.6Corners per game3.6
1.02Expected goals1.22

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MVVRateHelmond
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

MVV LLLDW
L 3 Oct Oss MVV 4 1 2.32 2.87
L 18 Sept Waalwijk MVV 6 1 1.65 4.65
L 11 Sept MVV Almere City 0 4 2.90 2.32
D 6 Sept MVV Roda 1 1 3.00 2.22
W 28 Aug Jong AZ MVV 1 2 1.85 3.80
L 25 Aug Genk U23(Bel) MVV(Ned) 6 0 – –
W 21 Aug MVV FC Volendam 1 0 3.60 1.97
W 14 Aug FC Eindhoven MVV 2 3 2.20 3.25
W 9 Aug MVV Jong Utrecht 2 1 2.52 2.57
D 1 Aug MVV Patro Eisden 1 1 – –
Helmond DLWWL
D 2 Oct Helmond Heracles 2 2 6.25 1.47
L 18 Sept Den Bosch Helmond 2 1 1.80 3.85
W 11 Sept Helmond Jong PSV 3 1 2.72 2.35
W 4 Sept Helmond Venlo 4 2 2.65 2.55
L 28 Aug Jong Ajax Helmond 3 2 2.10 3.10
W 21 Aug Helmond Waalwijk 1 0 3.90 1.98
L 14 Aug Roda Helmond 2 1 1.72 4.65
D 9 Aug Helmond De Graafschap 1 1 3.40 2.15
W 1 Aug Helmond St. Truiden 1 0 5.50 1.56
L 12 Jul Helmond Westerlo 0 2 – –

Past meetings

MVV
2·1·2
Helmond
  • Apr 2026 MVV 0 - 0 Helmond
  • Dec 2025 Helmond 2 - 4 MVV
  • Mar 2025 Helmond 4 - 0 MVV
  • Oct 2024 MVV 1 - 2 Helmond
  • Apr 2024 MVV 3 - 0 Helmond

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 +16 23
2 Almere City 10 +12 20
3 Venlo 11 +9 20
4 MVV 10 -6 17
5 Jong AZ 11 +7 16
6 Vitesse 11 +2 16
7 Roda 10 +2 16
8 NAC Breda 11 0 16
9 Emmen 10 -1 15
10 Waalwijk 10 +6 14
11 FC Volendam 10 +3 13
12 Helmond 11 0 13
13 Jong PSV 10 -2 13
14 FC Eindhoven 11 -3 13
15 Oss 11 -2 11
16 Den Bosch 11 -6 10
17 Jong Ajax 10 -9 9
18 Dordrecht 10 -11 9
19 De Graafschap 10 -11 9
20 Jong Utrecht 10 -6 8
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