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Mozambique vs Sudan prediction — Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · World
Mozambique €30.08m
Full time 4 : 1
Sudan €2.53m
1 1.71
X 3.30
2 5.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
78%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.43 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Mozambique 28%@1.71
Draw 15%@3.30
Sudan 57%@5.90
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 22%@5.07
Under 2.5 78%@1.43
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 35%@2.57
No 65%@1.45
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 55%@1.43
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MozambiqueModelSudan
0.89xG0.79
50%Ball possession50%
7Shots8
3Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
MozambiqueRealSudan
1.76xG1.33
65%Ball possession35%
12Shots10
5Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls4
12Fouls made9
MozambiqueReal · ModelSudan
1.760.89xG1.330.79
65%50%Ball possession35%50%
127Shots108
53Shots on goal43
34Corner kicks63
22Yellow cards22
32Offside calls42
1211Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MozambiquePer gameSudan
0.9Goals for / game0.6
1.8Goals against / game1.4
44%Ball possession44%
5.7Shots per game9.0
2.8Corners per game3.3
0.83Expected goals0.68

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MozambiqueRateSudan
20%Wins30%
60%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Mozambique DLLLL
D 25 Sept Mozambique Senegal 1 1 14.00 1.26
L 9 Jun Indonesia Mozambique 1 0 1.56 10.75
L 7 Jun Oman Mozambique 4 1 2.20 4.10
L 5 Jan Nigeria Mozambique 4 0 1.34 12.50
L 31 Dec Mozambique Cameroon 1 2 7.70 1.57
W 28 Dec Gabon Mozambique 2 3 1.97 4.30
L 24 Dec Ivory Coast Mozambique 1 0 1.31 14.50
D 17 Nov Chad Mozambique 2 2 – –
W 14 Oct Somalia Mozambique 0 1 10.00 1.29
L 9 Oct Mozambique Guinea 1 2 2.40 2.90
Sudan WDDLL
W 25 Sept Sudan Ethiopia 1 0 2.02 4.25
D 29 May Lebanon Sudan 0 0 – –
D 21 May Qatar Sudan 0 0 1.15 31.00
L 3 Jan Senegal Sudan 3 1 1.16 25.00
L 31 Dec Sudan Burkina Faso 0 2 7.00 1.82
W 28 Dec Equatoria Sudan 0 1 2.57 3.05
L 24 Dec Algeria Sudan 3 0 1.28 13.50
L 9 Dec Bahrain Sudan 3 1 2.47 3.10
L 6 Dec Sudan Iraq 0 2 5.00 1.65
D 3 Dec Algeria Sudan 0 0 1.41 6.60

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

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