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Mozambique vs Senegal prediction — Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

1 14.00
X 7.10
2 1.26

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
86%Chance
Senegal win 2 Odds @1.26 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Mozambique 5%@14.00
Draw 9%@7.10
Senegal 86%@1.26
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 65%@1.22
Under 1.5 35%@2.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@2.43
No 42%@1.57
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 59%@1.21
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MozambiqueModelSenegal
1.00xG1.71
45%Ball possession55%
6Shots16
3Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made11
MozambiqueRealSenegal
0.21xG1.56
34%Ball possession66%
7Shots14
2Shots on goal5
1Corner kicks10
3Yellow cards2
4Offside calls2
11Fouls made25
MozambiqueReal · ModelSenegal
0.211.00xG1.561.71
34%45%Ball possession66%55%
76Shots1416
23Shots on goal55
14Corner kicks105
31Yellow cards22
41Offside calls22
1110Fouls made2511

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MozambiquePer gameSenegal
0.9Goals for / game1.9
1.9Goals against / game1.3
46%Ball possession59%
5.8Shots per game14.2
3.2Corners per game5.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MozambiqueRateSenegal
20%Wins50%
60%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Mozambique WLLLL
W 29 Sept Mozambique Sudan 4 1 1.71 5.90
L 9 Jun Indonesia Mozambique 1 0 1.56 10.75
L 7 Jun Oman Mozambique 4 1 2.20 4.10
L 5 Jan Nigeria Mozambique 4 0 1.34 12.50
L 31 Dec Mozambique Cameroon 1 2 7.70 1.57
W 28 Dec Gabon Mozambique 2 3 1.97 4.30
L 24 Dec Ivory Coast Mozambique 1 0 1.31 14.50
D 17 Nov Chad Mozambique 2 2 – –
W 14 Oct Somalia Mozambique 0 1 10.00 1.29
L 9 Oct Mozambique Guinea 1 2 2.40 2.90
Senegal WWLWL
W 4 Oct Comoros Senegal 0 1 – –
W 29 Sept Ethiopia Senegal 0 1 9.75 1.38
L 1 Jul Belgium Senegal 3 2 2.10 4.05
W 26 Jun Senegal Iraq 5 0 1.25 14.00
L 23 Jun Norway Senegal 3 2 2.42 3.20
L 16 Jun France Senegal 3 1 1.53 7.40
D 10 Jun Saudi Arabia Senegal 0 0 6.30 1.65
L 31 May USA Senegal 3 2 2.75 2.57
W 31 Mar Senegal Gambia 3 1 1.15 25.00
W 28 Mar Senegal Peru 2 0 1.47 7.75

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.