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Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction — Premiership

Premiership · Scotland
1 1.87
X 3.75
2 4.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.26 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Motherwell 78%@1.87
Draw 11%@3.75
Aberdeen 11%@4.10
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 70%@1.25
Under 1.5 30%@2.92
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.65
No 45%@2.15
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 57%@1.53
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MotherwellModelAberdeen
1.32xG0.87
52%Ball possession48%
14Shots9
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
MotherwellRealAberdeen
0.77xG0.92
69%Ball possession31%
12Shots11
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls3
7Fouls made12
MotherwellReal · ModelAberdeen
0.771.32xG0.920.87
69%52%Ball possession31%48%
1214Shots119
55Shots on goal44
55Corner kicks26
22Yellow cards32
11Offside calls32
712Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MotherwellPer gameAberdeen
1.3Goals for / game1.5
1.4Goals against / game1.0
55%Ball possession53%
11.9Shots per game11.5
4.2Corners per game7.9
1.19Expected goals1.00

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MotherwellRateAberdeen
30%Wins50%
70%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Motherwell LLWDL
L 19 Sept Dundee Motherwell 2 1 3.00 2.37
L 5 Sept Rangers Motherwell 1 0 1.50 6.80
W 2 Sept Motherwell Dundee Utd 3 0 2.32 3.10
D 30 Aug ST Mirren Motherwell 3 3 2.62 2.75
L 27 Aug Freiburg(Ger) Motherwell(Sco) 4 1 1.21 14.50
L 20 Aug Motherwell(Sco) Freiburg(Ger) 1 3 5.90 1.60
L 16 Aug Stenhousemuir Motherwell 1 0 7.00 1.50
W 13 Aug Motherwell(Sco) HJK(Fin) 2 0 1.80 4.50
D 9 Aug Motherwell Falkirk 0 0 1.83 4.20
D 6 Aug HJK Motherwell 1 1 2.28 3.15
Aberdeen WDDDL
W 3 Oct Dunfermline(Sco) Aberdeen(Sco) 1 4 4.25 1.78
D 19 Sept Hibernian Aberdeen 1 1 1.75 5.00
D 12 Sept Kilmarnock Aberdeen 1 1 2.70 2.47
D 5 Sept Aberdeen Kilmarnock 0 0 1.75 4.90
L 2 Sept Celtic Aberdeen 3 0 1.28 11.50
L 30 Aug Aberdeen Rangers 0 1 4.00 1.93
W 15 Aug Aberdeen Dundee 3 0 2.14 3.40
L 8 Aug Dundee Aberdeen 2 0 2.80 2.57
W 1 Aug Aberdeen Heart M 2 1 3.10 2.37
W 25 Jul Aberdeen Kelty Hearts 3 0 1.12 21.00

Past meetings

Motherwell
3·1·2
Aberdeen
  • Feb 2026 Aberdeen 2 - 0 Motherwell
  • Feb 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
  • Nov 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Motherwell
  • Sept 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
  • Sept 2025 Aberdeen 0 - 1 Motherwell
  • Mar 2025 Aberdeen 4 - 1 Motherwell

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Celtic 8 +10 19
2 Rangers 8 +4 17
3 Heart M 8 +6 14
4 Dundee 8 +2 11
5 ST Mirren 8 -1 11
6 ST Johnstone 8 -1 9
7 Aberdeen 8 -1 9
8 Dundee Utd 8 -2 9
9 Motherwell 8 -2 9
10 Hibernian 8 -3 8
11 Falkirk 8 -3 7
12 Kilmarnock 8 -9 6