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Motagua vs UPNFM prediction — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional · Honduras
1 1.55
X 3.90
2 5.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
66%Chance
CD Motagua win 1 Odds @1.55 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Motagua 66%@1.55
Draw 20%@3.90
UPNFM 14%@5.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.47
Under 3.5 72%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@1.90
No 59%@1.83
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 82%@1.32
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MotaguaModelUPNFM
52%Ball possession48%
14Shots8
7Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
MotaguaRealUPNFM
49%Ball possession51%
9Shots11
6Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks7
0Yellow cards4
MotaguaReal · ModelUPNFM
49%52%Ball possession51%48%
914Shots118
67Shots on goal53
58Corner kicks73
02Yellow cards42

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MotaguaPer gameUPNFM
1.6Goals for / game0.9
0.8Goals against / game1.6
54%Ball possession48%
11.6Shots per game8.7
6.7Corners per game4.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MotaguaRateUPNFM
50%Wins10%
80%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Motagua LDWWD
L 20 Sept Real Espana Motagua 1 0 2.30 3.05
D 17 Sept Alianza(Slv) Motagua(Hon) 0 0 2.28 2.86
W 13 Sept Motagua Genesis 1 0 1.60 4.85
W 10 Sept Motagua(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 3 0 1.52 6.30
D 6 Sept Atletico I Motagua 0 0 3.75 1.90
W 30 Aug Motagua Olancho 2 1 1.71 4.40
D 26 Aug Municipal(Gua) Motagua(Hon) 1 1 2.40 2.94
L 17 Aug Olimpia Motagua 3 1 2.15 3.75
D 13 Aug Motagua Cartagines 1 1 2.00 3.60
L 10 Aug Motagua Estrella Roja 0 2 1.30 8.10
UPNFM WWLLD
W 18 Sept Platense UPNFM 0 2 2.38 2.87
W 13 Sept UPNFM Choloma 1 0 1.87 4.50
L 7 Sept Real Espana UPNFM 2 0 1.40 6.50
L 29 Aug Juticalpa UPNFM 1 0 3.05 2.22
D 16 Aug UPNFM Estrella Roja 2 2 2.30 3.10
D 9 Aug UPNFM Olancho 1 1 2.85 2.42
L 3 Aug Olimpia UPNFM 2 0 1.27 8.90
W 1 May UPNFM Motagua 2 1 6.30 1.48
L 27 Apr Juticalpa UPNFM 1 0 2.70 2.55
L 24 Apr UPNFM Genesis 0 1 1.98 4.00

Past meetings

Motagua
2·2·2
UPNFM
  • May 2026 UPNFM 2 - 1 Motagua
  • Mar 2026 Motagua 2 - 0 UPNFM
  • Nov 2025 UPNFM 0 - 0 Motagua
  • Sept 2025 Motagua 3 - 3 UPNFM
  • Apr 2025 UPNFM 2 - 1 Motagua
  • Feb 2025 Motagua 5 - 0 UPNFM

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Real Espana 10 +9 20
2 Olimpia 10 +12 19
3 Marathon 10 +8 19
4 Motagua 9 +3 14
5 Olancho 10 +1 13
6 Genesis 9 +4 12
7 Estrella Roja 9 -3 10
8 Atletico I 9 -4 10
9 UPNFM 9 -5 9
10 Choloma 9 -2 8
11 Juticalpa 9 -11 7
12 Platense 9 -12 6