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Motagua vs Olancho prediction — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional · Honduras
Motagua €4.68m
Full time 2 : 1
Olancho €2.88m
1 1.71
X 3.80
2 4.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.19 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Motagua 61%@1.71
Draw 21%@3.80
Olancho 18%@4.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@4.86
Under 3.5 75%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.64
No 44%@2.30
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 70%@1.30
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MotaguaModelOlancho
1.92xG0.00
52%Ball possession48%
13Shots8
6Shots on goal4
8Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls0
14Fouls made0
MotaguaRealOlancho
50%Ball possession50%
13Shots5
7Shots on goal2
9Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
MotaguaReal · ModelOlancho
50%52%Ball possession50%48%
1313Shots58
76Shots on goal24
98Corner kicks54
22Yellow cards13

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MotaguaPer gameOlancho
1.7Goals for / game1.0
0.9Goals against / game1.2
51%Ball possession49%
11.2Shots per game7.6
6.8Corners per game4.5

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MotaguaRateOlancho
40%Wins30%
80%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Motagua LDWWD
L 20 Sept Real Espana Motagua 1 0 2.30 3.05
D 17 Sept Alianza(Slv) Motagua(Hon) 0 0 2.28 2.86
W 13 Sept Motagua Genesis 1 0 1.60 4.85
W 10 Sept Motagua(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 3 0 1.52 6.30
D 6 Sept Atletico I Motagua 0 0 3.75 1.90
D 26 Aug Municipal(Gua) Motagua(Hon) 1 1 2.40 2.94
W 22 Aug Motagua UPNFM 4 1 1.55 5.50
L 17 Aug Olimpia Motagua 3 1 2.15 3.75
D 13 Aug Motagua Cartagines 1 1 2.00 3.60
L 10 Aug Motagua Estrella Roja 0 2 1.30 8.10
Olancho DDDDW
D 19 Sept Genesis Olancho 0 0 2.55 2.67
D 13 Sept Olancho Real Espana 1 1 2.63 2.62
D 5 Sept Choloma Olancho 0 0 4.00 1.78
D 24 Aug Olancho Olimpia 1 1 3.30 2.15
W 17 Aug Olancho Juticalpa 1 0 1.21 11.00
D 9 Aug UPNFM Olancho 1 1 2.85 2.42
W 3 Aug Estrella Roja Olancho 0 1 3.75 1.97
D 15 May Genesis Olancho 1 1 2.15 4.10
L 13 May Olancho Motagua 0 2 3.30 2.17
W 10 May Motagua Olancho 1 2 1.80 5.15

Past meetings

Motagua
2·2·2
Olancho
  • May 2026 Olancho 0 - 2 Motagua
  • May 2026 Motagua 1 - 2 Olancho
  • Apr 2026 Olancho 0 - 0 Motagua
  • Mar 2026 Motagua 1 - 1 Olancho
  • Nov 2025 Motagua 3 - 2 Olancho
  • Aug 2025 Olancho 3 - 1 Motagua

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Real Espana 10 +9 20
2 Olimpia 10 +12 19
3 Marathon 10 +8 19
4 Motagua 9 +3 14
5 Olancho 10 +1 13
6 Genesis 9 +4 12
7 Estrella Roja 9 -3 10
8 Atletico I 9 -4 10
9 UPNFM 9 -5 9
10 Choloma 9 -2 8
11 Juticalpa 9 -11 7
12 Platense 9 -12 6
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