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Morton vs Dunfermline prediction — Championship

Championship · Scotland
Morton €1.23m
Full time 0 : 1
Dunfermline €4.12m
1 6.75
X 4.20
2 1.53

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.15 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Morton 8%@6.75
Draw 14%@4.20
Dunfermline 78%@1.53
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 15%@7.82
Under 3.5 85%@1.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@2.00
No 55%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 84%@1.36
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MortonModelDunfermline
47%Ball possession53%
5Shots14
2Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
MortonRealDunfermline
42%Ball possession58%
4Shots10
2Shots on goal4
2Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards0
MortonReal · ModelDunfermline
42%47%Ball possession58%53%
45Shots1014
22Shots on goal45
24Corner kicks85
12Yellow cards02

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MortonPer gameDunfermline
0.4Goals for / game1.6
1.9Goals against / game0.7
48%Ball possession54%
4.9Shots per game12.8
3.2Corners per game5.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MortonRateDunfermline
0%Wins50%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Morton LLLLD
L 3 Oct Morton Raith 1 2 5.30 1.61
L 25 Sept Inverness Morton 2 0 1.36 7.90
L 11 Sept Morton Livingston 1 4 5.60 1.60
L 5 Sept Queen's Park Morton 2 1 2.35 2.95
D 29 Aug Ayr Morton 1 1 1.68 4.80
L 22 Aug Morton Arbroath 1 2 3.70 2.08
L 8 Aug Stenhousemuir Morton 2 0 1.98 3.65
L 1 Aug Morton Partick 0 1 5.30 1.57
L 25 Jul Morton Inverness 0 1 5.30 1.58
L 18 Jul ST Johnstone Morton 3 0 1.10 41.00
Dunfermline LWDWL
L 3 Oct Dunfermline(Sco) Aberdeen(Sco) 1 4 4.25 1.78
W 12 Sept Dunfermline Queen's Park 2 0 1.50 6.30
D 5 Sept Arbroath Dunfermline 1 1 2.75 2.57
W 28 Aug Dunfermline Raith 1 0 2.50 2.82
L 22 Aug Livingston Dunfermline 2 0 1.78 4.35
L 15 Aug Dunfermline Ross County 1 2 2.32 3.00
D 8 Aug Dunfermline Ayr 1 1 2.12 3.70
D 1 Aug Inverness Dunfermline 0 0 2.65 2.85
W 26 Jul ST Mirren Dunfermline 0 1 1.75 4.25
W 21 Jul Dunfermline Cove Rangers 5 0 1.25 11.50

Past meetings

Morton
2·1·3
Dunfermline
  • Apr 2026 Dunfermline 3 - 1 Morton
  • Feb 2026 Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
  • Nov 2025 Dunfermline 1 - 0 Morton
  • Aug 2025 Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline
  • May 2025 Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
  • Mar 2025 Dunfermline 2 - 1 Morton

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 +10 23
2 Raith 10 +7 18
3 Partick 11 +6 18
4 Livingston 10 +4 14
5 Dunfermline 9 +2 14
6 Ayr 11 -1 13
7 Inverness 10 0 12
8 Arbroath 10 -7 12
9 Queen's Park 10 -9 6
10 Morton 10 -12 2
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