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Moquegua vs FBC Melgar prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Moquegua €4.20m
Full time 0 : 0
FBC Melgar €11.06m
1 4.50
X 3.55
2 1.86

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.21 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Moquegua 10%@4.50
Draw 12%@3.55
FBC Melgar 78%@1.86
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@4.47
Under 3.5 78%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.97
No 45%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 78%@1.36
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MoqueguaModelFBC Melgar
1.09xG2.19
41%Ball possession59%
12Shots21
5Shots on goal9
3Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls3
11Fouls made10
MoqueguaRealFBC Melgar
0.55xG0.56
29%Ball possession71%
9Shots9
0Shots on goal1
3Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards0
3Offside calls1
10Fouls made10
MoqueguaReal · ModelFBC Melgar
0.551.09xG0.562.19
29%41%Ball possession71%59%
912Shots921
05Shots on goal19
33Corner kicks56
23Yellow cards02
31Offside calls13
1011Fouls made1010

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MoqueguaPer gameFBC Melgar
0.8Goals for / game1.7
1.0Goals against / game1.0
41%Ball possession61%
11.9Shots per game18.5
3.5Corners per game5.5
1.00Expected goals2.21

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MoqueguaRateFBC Melgar
10%Wins40%
40%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Moquegua LLLLL
L 20 Sept Juan Pablo II Moquegua 4 0 1.77 4.50
L 13 Sept Moquegua Sporting 1 2 4.00 1.95
L 6 Sept Cusco Moquegua 2 0 1.27 11.50
L 30 Aug Moquegua Alianza Atl. 1 4 2.89 2.75
L 27 Aug ADT Moquegua 2 0 1.55 6.00
W 22 Aug Sport Huancayo Moquegua 0 2 1.40 7.70
D 16 Aug Moquegua Sport Boys 1 1 2.40 3.10
L 9 Aug Deportivo Moquegua 2 0 1.62 5.25
D 26 Jul Cajamarca Moquegua 0 0 1.60 6.00
D 18 Jul Moquegua Comercian 2 2 2.25 3.50
FBC Melgar DWWLD
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 12 Sept Cusco FBC Melgar 0 1 2.07 3.55
W 7 Sept FBC Melgar ADT 3 0 1.42 8.00
L 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
L 9 Aug FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca 2 4 1.27 10.50
W 26 Jul FBC Melgar Sporting 2 1 1.74 4.80
W 18 Jul Cienciano FBC Melgar 1 3 2.00 3.60
D 29 Jun FBC Melgar Moquegua 0 0 1.64 5.80

Past meetings

Moquegua
0·1·2
FBC Melgar
  • Jun 2026 FBC Melgar 0 - 0 Moquegua
  • Feb 2026 FBC Melgar 4 - 0 Moquegua
  • Jan 2026 FBC Melgar 2 - 0 Moquegua

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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