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Moquegua vs Alianza Atl. prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Moquegua €4.20m
Full time 1 : 4
Alianza Atl. €5.95m
1 2.89
X 3.20
2 2.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
81%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.25 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Moquegua 28%@2.89
Draw 43%@3.20
Alianza Atl. 29%@2.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 19%@5.33
Under 3.5 81%@1.25
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.83
No 40%@1.90
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.67
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MoqueguaModelAlianza Atl.
0.80xG1.09
46%Ball possession54%
11Shots10
4Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
MoqueguaRealAlianza Atl.
1.91xG1.93
53%Ball possession47%
9Shots19
3Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made14
MoqueguaReal · ModelAlianza Atl.
1.910.80xG1.931.09
53%46%Ball possession47%54%
911Shots1910
34Shots on goal65
53Corner kicks44
13Yellow cards33
12Offside calls21
1212Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MoqueguaPer gameAlianza Atl.
0.8Goals for / game1.6
0.9Goals against / game1.3
41%Ball possession50%
11.1Shots per game11.5
3.2Corners per game4.2
0.85Expected goals1.22

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MoqueguaRateAlianza Atl.
20%Wins60%
60%Over 1.580%
20%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Moquegua LLLLW
L 20 Sept Juan Pablo II Moquegua 4 0 1.77 4.50
L 13 Sept Moquegua Sporting 1 2 4.00 1.95
L 6 Sept Cusco Moquegua 2 0 1.27 11.50
L 27 Aug ADT Moquegua 2 0 1.55 6.00
W 22 Aug Sport Huancayo Moquegua 0 2 1.40 7.70
D 16 Aug Moquegua Sport Boys 1 1 2.40 3.10
L 9 Aug Deportivo Moquegua 2 0 1.62 5.25
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86
D 26 Jul Cajamarca Moquegua 0 0 1.60 6.00
D 18 Jul Moquegua Comercian 2 2 2.25 3.50
Alianza Atl. WWLWD
W 27 Sept Sport Boys Alianza Atl. 2 5 3.60 2.25
W 18 Sept Alianza Atl. Comercian 2 1 1.70 5.00
L 13 Sept Grau Alianza Atl. 3 1 2.50 2.93
W 4 Sept Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 3 2 1.59 6.10
D 25 Aug Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 1 1 1.71 6.10
W 21 Aug Alianza Atl. Sporting 1 0 3.10 2.43
D 15 Aug ADT Alianza Atl. 1 1 1.88 4.60
W 6 Aug Alianza Atl. Cienciano 1 0 2.18 3.45
L 2 Aug Alianza Lima Alianza Atl. 3 1 1.34 9.50
W 24 Jul Alianza Atl. Los Chankas 3 1 1.64 5.20

Past meetings

Moquegua
0·0·1
Alianza Atl.
  • Mar 2026 Alianza Atl. 3 - 0 Moquegua

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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