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Montpellier vs PAU prediction — Ligue 2

Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier €30.05m
Full time 1 : 0
PAU €10.30m
1 1.89
X 3.55
2 4.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Montpellier 52%@1.89
Draw 26%@3.55
PAU 22%@4.35
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.76
Under 3.5 89%@1.33
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.83
No 53%@1.95
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 63%@1.32
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MontpellierModelPAU
1.44xG0.99
54%Ball possession46%
13Shots9
7Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls3
17Fouls made12
MontpellierRealPAU
0.69xG1.27
74%Ball possession26%
12Shots11
4Shots on goal2
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
13Fouls made16
MontpellierReal · ModelPAU
0.691.44xG1.270.99
74%54%Ball possession26%46%
1213Shots119
47Shots on goal24
66Corner kicks33
22Yellow cards32
01Offside calls13
1317Fouls made1612

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MontpellierPer gamePAU
1.9Goals for / game0.9
1.4Goals against / game1.4
54%Ball possession50%
12.0Shots per game12.0
5.4Corners per game4.2
1.34Expected goals1.17

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MontpellierRatePAU
50%Wins30%
60%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Montpellier DLDDW
D 18 Sept Reims Montpellier 1 1 2.40 3.35
L 5 Sept St Etienne Montpellier 3 1 1.58 5.80
D 28 Aug Montpellier Boulogne 0 0 1.82 5.20
D 21 Aug Dunkerque Montpellier 0 0 2.32 2.95
W 14 Aug Nancy Montpellier 0 1 2.77 2.62
D 8 Aug Montpellier Dijon 1 1 1.93 4.20
W 1 Aug Montpellier Rodez 4 2 – –
W 25 Jul Clermont Montpellier 0 1 3.45 2.00
L 22 Jul Montpellier Cannes 3 4 1.50 5.40
W 17 Jul Montpellier Le Puy Foot 5 2 1.67 5.00
PAU WDDDW
W 18 Sept PAU Dunkerque 2 0 2.37 3.00
D 4 Sept PAU Sochaux 1 1 2.32 3.22
D 28 Aug Rodez PAU 2 2 1.77 4.50
D 21 Aug PAU Nancy 0 0 2.62 2.90
W 14 Aug Dijon PAU 0 1 2.08 3.70
L 8 Aug PAU Annecy 0 1 2.65 2.67
L 1 Aug PAU R. Union 1 2 2.43 2.48
L 25 Jul Real Sociedad B PAU 4 0 2.60 2.40
L 21 Jul Espanyol PAU 4 0 1.43 6.40
D 17 Jul PAU Bayonne 0 0 – –

Past meetings

Montpellier
0·1·1
PAU
  • Mar 2026 PAU 0 - 0 Montpellier
  • Dec 2025 Montpellier 0 - 1 PAU

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 +11 17
2 Reims 9 +6 15
3 Red Star 8 +2 15
4 Annecy 9 0 12
5 Metz 8 +3 11
6 PAU 9 +1 11
7 Dijon 9 0 11
8 Montpellier 8 0 11
9 Sochaux 8 -1 11
10 Nancy 9 0 10
11 Dunkerque 8 -1 10
12 Guingamp 9 -2 10
13 Grenoble 9 -3 10
14 Rodez 8 -2 8
15 Clermont 9 -2 8
16 Nantes 8 -4 8
17 Boulogne 9 -2 7
18 Laval 9 -6 7
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