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Monterrey vs Cruz Azul prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 2.27
X 3.55
2 3.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.42 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Monterrey 66%@2.27
Draw 16%@3.55
Cruz Azul 18%@3.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.70
Under 2.5 26%@4.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.55
No 42%@2.50
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 73%@1.68
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MonterreyModelCruz Azul
1.44xG1.26
52%Ball possession48%
17Shots17
5Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
MonterreyRealCruz Azul
0.82xG1.26
47%Ball possession53%
17Shots12
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls3
12Fouls made14
MonterreyReal · ModelCruz Azul
0.821.44xG1.261.26
47%52%Ball possession53%48%
1717Shots1217
55Shots on goal45
67Corner kicks45
12Yellow cards22
12Offside calls31
1211Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MonterreyPer gameCruz Azul
1.6Goals for / game1.5
1.4Goals against / game1.6
57%Ball possession54%
16.0Shots per game17.5
7.3Corners per game5.9
1.43Expected goals1.42

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MonterreyRateCruz Azul
40%Wins50%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Monterrey WLDLD
W 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
L 26 Sept Atlante Monterrey 4 2 3.00 2.42
D 13 Sept Monterrey Tigres UANL 0 0 2.18 3.40
L 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
D 3 Sept Club America(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 2 2.16 3.45
L 31 Aug Monterrey Atl. San Luis 1 3 1.87 5.10
W 26 Aug Monterrey(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 2 1 2.72 2.45
L 22 Aug Leon Monterrey 1 0 3.00 2.27
W 16 Aug Monterrey Juarez 6 1 1.62 5.50
W 13 Aug Monterrey Nashville SC 2 1 2.02 3.45
Cruz Azul DLWWW
D 26 Sept Cruz Azul Toluca 3 3 2.57 2.60
L 17 Sept Inter Miami(Usa) Cruz Azul(Mex) 2 0 2.25 2.87
W 13 Sept Cruz Azul Club America 4 3 2.77 2.50
W 7 Sept Cruz Azul Santos Laguna 1 0 1.39 7.30
W 29 Aug Necaxa Cruz Azul 1 3 3.70 1.97
L 23 Aug Cruz Azul Atlas 0 2 1.65 5.70
L 17 Aug Club Tijuana Cruz Azul 2 1 3.15 2.35
L 14 Aug Cruz Azul(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 1 2 2.55 3.05
W 10 Aug Cruz Azul New York City 2 1 2.28 3.05
W 7 Aug Cruz Azul Philadelp 1 0 2.45 2.77

Past meetings

Monterrey
0·2·4
Cruz Azul
  • Mar 2026 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Monterrey
  • Mar 2026 Monterrey 2 - 3 Cruz Azul
  • Mar 2026 Monterrey 0 - 2 Cruz Azul
  • Oct 2025 Cruz Azul 2 - 0 Monterrey
  • Mar 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Monterrey
  • Jul 2024 Monterrey 0 - 4 Cruz Azul

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4