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Monaco vs Marseille prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
Monaco €325.80m
Full time 2 : 0
Marseille €224.85m
1 2.30
X 3.70
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
67%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.47 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Monaco 55%@2.30
Draw 21%@3.70
Marseille 24%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 33%@2.98
Under 3.5 67%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.62
No 54%@2.35
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 57%@1.88
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MonacoModelMarseille
1.39xG1.79
50%Ball possession50%
14Shots16
8Shots on goal8
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
MonacoRealMarseille
1.49xG1.22
35%Ball possession65%
11Shots13
5Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards0
3Offside calls1
9Fouls made10
MonacoReal · ModelMarseille
1.491.39xG1.221.79
35%50%Ball possession65%50%
1114Shots1316
58Shots on goal38
55Corner kicks75
41Yellow cards02
31Offside calls11
913Fouls made1011

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MonacoPer gameMarseille
2.3Goals for / game1.5
1.8Goals against / game1.4
55%Ball possession58%
15.8Shots per game16.4
4.6Corners per game5.4
1.62Expected goals1.70

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MonacoRateMarseille
60%Wins50%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Monaco WDWWW
W 18 Sept Monaco Lens 2 1 1.87 4.10
D 12 Sept Strasbourg Monaco 1 1 3.15 2.25
W 4 Sept PSG Monaco 1 2 1.38 8.25
W 27 Aug Monaco(Fra) Gornik Zabrze(Pol) 4 1 1.36 9.00
W 23 Aug Le Havre Monaco 0 1 3.75 2.02
W 20 Aug Gornik Zabrze(Pol) Monaco(Fra) 2 3 3.90 2.02
L 14 Aug Coventry(Eng) Monaco(Fra) 2 0 2.27 2.87
W 9 Aug Liverpool Monaco 2 3 1.45 6.10
W 6 Aug Monaco Getafe 1 0 1.92 4.00
D 31 Jul Monaco Cercle B 2 2 1.62 4.80
Marseille LLLLW
L 20 Sept Marseille PSG 1 2 6.80 1.47
L 17 Sept Besiktas(Tur) Marseille(Fra) 4 1 1.80 4.50
L 11 Sept Rennes Marseille 1 0 2.07 3.60
L 6 Sept Marseille Paris FC 2 3 1.97 4.00
W 21 Aug Marseille Strasbourg 4 0 1.82 4.40
L 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
W 9 Aug Marseille Athletic C 3 1 2.75 2.40
W 30 Jul Marseille Nimes 2 1 1.20 11.00
W 17 May Marseille Rennes 3 1 2.05 3.60
W 10 May Le Havre Marseille 0 1 3.55 2.05

Past meetings

Monaco
2·1·2
Marseille
  • Apr 2026 Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille
  • Dec 2025 Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco
  • Apr 2025 Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille
  • Dec 2024 Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco
  • Jan 2024 Marseille 2 - 2 Monaco

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3
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