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MK Dons vs Crawley prediction — EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy · England
MK Dons €15.57m
Full time 4 : 1
Crawley €3.03m
1 1.26
X 6.40
2 8.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
62%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @2.12 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
MK Dons 36%@1.26
Draw 7%@6.40
Crawley 57%@8.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 38%@3.46
Under 3.5 62%@2.12
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.60
No 41%@2.40
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.33
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MK DonsModelCrawley
1.48xG1.19
43%Ball possession57%
15Shots11
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
MK DonsRealCrawley
1.73xG0.56
55%Ball possession45%
17Shots13
7Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls3
10Fouls made23
MK DonsReal · ModelCrawley
1.731.48xG0.561.19
55%43%Ball possession45%57%
1715Shots1311
74Shots on goal54
45Corner kicks54
22Yellow cards33
12Offside calls31
1012Fouls made2311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MK DonsPer gameCrawley
1.1Goals for / game0.8
1.4Goals against / game1.5
43%Ball possession54%
13.6Shots per game12.6
5.1Corners per game3.9
1.42Expected goals1.29

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MK DonsRateCrawley
10%Wins20%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.530%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

MK Dons DDDLD
D 17 Sept AFC Wimbledon MK Dons 0 0 2.80 2.52
D 12 Sept MK Dons Peterborough 1 1 2.02 3.35
D 5 Sept Wycombe MK Dons 3 3 2.27 2.95
L 2 Sept Wigan MK Dons 3 1 2.47 2.80
D 29 Aug MK Dons Leicester 0 0 2.42 2.85
D 22 Aug MK Dons Huddersfield 1 1 2.55 2.72
D 15 Aug Oxford Utd MK Dons 2 2 2.22 3.50
L 8 Aug Norwich MK Dons 4 1 1.52 5.80
W 1 Aug Cheltenham MK Dons 0 2 4.05 1.80
D 28 Jul Barnet MK Dons 0 0 2.67 2.55
Crawley LLLDL
L 19 Sept Grimsby Crawley 2 0 1.42 6.60
L 12 Sept Crawley Cheltenham 1 3 2.70 2.52
L 5 Sept Accrington Crawley 3 2 2.12 3.30
D 1 Sept Northampton Crawley 1 1 1.70 5.00
L 29 Aug Crawley Bristol Rovers 0 2 3.45 2.12
W 22 Aug Rochdale Crawley 1 2 1.90 4.00
L 15 Aug Crawley Crewe 0 1 2.65 2.67
L 8 Aug Watford Crawley 1 0 1.31 9.50
D 4 Aug Woking Crawley 0 0 – –
W 3 Aug York Crawley 0 2 1.67 4.92

Past meetings

MK Dons
0·2·2
Crawley
  • Feb 2026 MK Dons 0 - 0 Crawley
  • Aug 2025 Crawley 1 - 1 MK Dons
  • May 2024 MK Dons 1 - 5 Crawley
  • May 2024 Crawley 3 - 0 MK Dons
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