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Minnesota vs FC Dallas prediction — Major League Soccer

1 1.86
X 4.15
2 4.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
FC Dallas scores AS Odds @1.30 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Minnesota 61%@1.86
Draw 20%@4.15
FC Dallas 19%@4.35
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.53
Under 2.5 11%@12.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 95%@1.50
No 5%@2.47
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 70%@1.43
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MinnesotaModelFC Dallas
2.20xG1.07
54%Ball possession46%
15Shots10
7Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
MinnesotaRealFC Dallas
1.21xG2.21
52%Ball possession48%
9Shots13
2Shots on goal6
2Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made21
MinnesotaReal · ModelFC Dallas
1.212.20xG2.211.07
52%54%Ball possession48%46%
915Shots1310
27Shots on goal65
26Corner kicks63
22Yellow cards23
22Offside calls11
1313Fouls made2113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MinnesotaPer gameFC Dallas
1.9Goals for / game1.7
1.6Goals against / game1.9
45%Ball possession38%
13.6Shots per game11.6
6.2Corners per game3.7
1.96Expected goals1.21

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MinnesotaRateFC Dallas
20%Wins50%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Minnesota LLLLD
L 27 Sept Seattle S Minnesota 3 1 2.10 3.30
L 20 Sept Minnesota Los A 2 3 1.72 4.50
L 13 Sept St. L Minnesota 4 2 2.05 3.40
L 6 Sept Portland Minnesota 5 4 2.55 2.62
D 30 Aug Minnesota Orlando City 3 3 1.83 3.90
W 23 Aug San J Minnesota 1 5 2.40 2.80
L 20 Aug Minnesota Atlanta Utd 1 2 1.72 4.70
D 16 Aug Real Salt Lake Minnesota 1 1 1.91 4.10
W 12 Aug Minnesota Atlante 3 1 2.37 3.05
D 8 Aug Tigres UANL Minnesota 0 0 2.20 3.20
FC Dallas WDWWD
W 27 Sept FC Dallas Los A 1 0 2.25 3.35
D 20 Sept FC Dallas Austin 0 0 1.72 4.65
W 13 Sept FC Dallas Portland 2 1 1.85 4.30
W 6 Sept FC Dallas Sporting 4 3 1.42 7.50
D 31 Aug St. L FC Dallas 3 3 2.22 3.40
L 23 Aug Vancouver FC Dallas 5 0 1.42 7.80
W 20 Aug Real Salt Lake FC Dallas 3 4 2.02 3.60
W 17 Aug Austin FC Dallas 1 2 2.95 2.40
L 13 Aug Toluca FC Dallas 3 1 1.42 7.00
W 9 Aug Guadalaja FC Dallas 0 1 1.60 5.20

Past meetings

Minnesota
2·2·1
FC Dallas
  • Apr 2026 FC Dallas 0 - 1 Minnesota
  • Jul 2025 FC Dallas 1 - 2 Minnesota
  • Apr 2025 Minnesota 0 - 0 FC Dallas
  • Jun 2024 FC Dallas 5 - 3 Minnesota
  • Jun 2024 Minnesota 1 - 1 FC Dallas

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 +34 62
2 Vancouver 29 +33 53
3 St. L 29 +12 49
4 FC Dallas 29 +8 49
5 Inter Miami 29 +14 48
6 New E 29 +9 48
7 San J 29 +10 47
8 Houston Dynamo 29 +2 46
9 Charlotte 29 +9 45
10 Los A 30 +13 43
11 Chicago Fire 28 +7 42
12 Philadelp 29 +10 41
13 Seattle S 29 0 40
14 Colorado Rapids 29 0 38
15 Los A 29 -6 38
16 Orlando City 28 -15 36
17 New York City 29 +5 35
18 FC Cincinnati 28 -9 35
19 New Y 29 -17 35
20 San Diego 29 0 34
21 Portland 29 -3 34
22 Real Salt Lake 29 -4 34
23 Austin 29 -12 33
24 DC United 28 -8 32
25 Minnesota 29 -9 31
26 Toronto FC 29 -12 31
27 Atlanta Utd 29 -13 29
28 Columbus Crew 28 -5 28
29 CF Montreal 29 -20 26
30 Sporting 29 -33 23