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Millwall vs Newcastle prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
Millwall €82.68m
Full time 0 : 1
Newcastle €606.10m
1 8.25
X 5.20
2 1.42

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
73%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.60 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Millwall 15%@8.25
Draw 24%@5.20
Newcastle 61%@1.42
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.60
Under 2.5 27%@4.33
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.84
No 41%@2.06
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 83%@1.27
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MillwallModelNewcastle
1.41xG1.49
50%Ball possession50%
11Shots13
5Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
4Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
MillwallRealNewcastle
0.50xG1.77
37%Ball possession63%
9Shots25
2Shots on goal6
1Corner kicks15
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls0
15Fouls made12
MillwallReal · ModelNewcastle
0.501.41xG1.771.49
37%50%Ball possession63%50%
911Shots2513
25Shots on goal66
14Corner kicks155
21Yellow cards12
24Offside calls01
1512Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MillwallPer gameNewcastle
1.4Goals for / game1.6
1.1Goals against / game1.8
49%Ball possession53%
12.4Shots per game10.5
4.4Corners per game6.0
1.62Expected goals1.13

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MillwallRateNewcastle
50%Wins30%
70%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.570%
30%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Millwall DDLWL
D 19 Sept Millwall West Ham 2 2 5.00 1.70
D 15 Sept Middlesbrough Millwall 2 2 1.47 6.90
L 12 Sept Blackburn Millwall 3 1 2.50 2.90
W 5 Sept Millwall Bolton 4 0 2.00 3.95
L 2 Sept Millwall Wrexham 0 3 2.40 3.30
L 29 Aug Southampton Millwall 5 1 2.00 3.65
W 25 Aug Cambridge Utd Millwall 0 1 3.00 2.40
W 22 Aug Millwall Norwich 3 0 2.82 2.60
W 15 Aug Bristol City Millwall 0 2 2.57 2.80
D 8 Aug QPR Millwall 1 1 2.60 2.87
Newcastle WLDWW
W 19 Sept Newcastle Hull 2 1 1.65 5.30
L 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
D 5 Sept Newcastle Bournemouth 2 2 2.17 3.40
W 29 Aug Tottenham Newcastle 0 2 2.22 3.15
W 26 Aug Newcastle West Brom 3 2 1.33 10.50
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Strasbourg(Fra) 1 1 1.92 3.70
L 15 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Leverkusen(Ger) 1 2 2.26 2.92
L 12 Aug Newcastle Everton 1 3 2.25 2.87
W 8 Aug Valencia Newcastle 1 2 2.95 2.25

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day