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Middlesbrough vs Norwich prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Middlesbrough €132.40m
Full time 4 : 3
Norwich €103.38m
1 1.87
X 3.95
2 3.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
87%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Middlesbrough 67%@1.87
Draw 17%@3.95
Norwich 16%@3.95
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.58
Under 2.5 24%@5.00
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 66%@1.55
No 34%@2.40
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 75%@1.49
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MiddlesbroughModelNorwich
2.04xG1.37
53%Ball possession47%
18Shots13
8Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made12
MiddlesbroughRealNorwich
2.07xG1.62
50%Ball possession50%
17Shots13
6Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
13Fouls made9
MiddlesbroughReal · ModelNorwich
2.072.04xG1.621.37
50%53%Ball possession50%47%
1718Shots1313
68Shots on goal57
36Corner kicks54
21Yellow cards13
32Offside calls12
1311Fouls made912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MiddlesbroughPer gameNorwich
1.6Goals for / game1.7
1.5Goals against / game1.3
59%Ball possession52%
17.3Shots per game16.6
5.8Corners per game4.9
1.83Expected goals1.73

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MiddlesbroughRateNorwich
50%Wins50%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Middlesbrough DDLWD
D 19 Sept Birmingham Middlesbrough 2 2 2.85 2.50
D 15 Sept Middlesbrough Millwall 2 2 1.47 6.90
L 8 Sept Crystal Palace Middlesbrough 3 0 2.22 3.35
W 5 Sept QPR Middlesbrough 0 1 3.25 2.25
D 2 Sept Burnley Middlesbrough 1 1 3.20 2.23
W 29 Aug Middlesbrough West Brom 3 1 1.74 4.65
W 25 Aug Doncaster Middlesbrough 1 3 7.20 1.48
L 22 Aug Blackburn Middlesbrough 2 1 3.70 2.02
W 15 Aug Middlesbrough Lincoln 2 1 1.47 8.00
W 7 Aug Middlesbrough Wrexham 1 0 1.72 5.00
Norwich LLWWL
L 20 Sept Norwich Bolton 3 4 1.44 7.40
L 17 Sept Manchester City Norwich 5 0 1.19 26.00
W 9 Sept Norwich Birmingham 2 1 1.95 3.90
W 5 Sept Sheffield Utd Norwich 1 3 2.67 2.70
L 1 Sept Stoke Norwich 1 0 3.45 2.15
W 29 Aug Norwich Burnley 4 1 2.07 3.60
W 25 Aug Cardiff Norwich 1 2 2.70 2.43
L 22 Aug Millwall Norwich 3 0 2.82 2.60
L 15 Aug Norwich West Brom 1 2 2.02 3.90
W 8 Aug Norwich MK Dons 4 1 1.52 5.80

Past meetings

Middlesbrough
3·2·0
Norwich
  • Jan 2026 Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Norwich
  • Aug 2025 Norwich 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
  • Apr 2025 Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Norwich
  • Oct 2024 Norwich 3 - 3 Middlesbrough
  • Mar 2024 Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Norwich

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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