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Mexico vs England prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
Mexico €198.20m
Full time 2 : 3
England €1.29bn
1 3.20
X 3.20
2 2.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.58 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Mexico 26%@3.20
Draw 25%@3.20
England 49%@2.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 17%@7.71
Under 2.5 83%@1.58
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@2.05
No 69%@1.83
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 60%@1.58
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MexicoModelEngland
1.16xG2.21
44%Ball possession56%
12Shots20
6Shots on goal9
3Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made10
MexicoRealEngland
1.87xG1.55
67%Ball possession33%
20Shots6
5Shots on goal5
12Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls0
14Fouls made7
MexicoReal · ModelEngland
1.871.16xG1.552.21
67%44%Ball possession33%56%
2012Shots620
56Shots on goal59
123Corner kicks28
21Yellow cards41
12Offside calls01
1412Fouls made710

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MexicoPer gameEngland
2.1Goals for / game1.7
0.2Goals against / game0.5
52%Ball possession68%
13.7Shots per game19.0
3.8Corners per game7.6
1.14Expected goals2.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MexicoRateEngland
80%Wins70%
70%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.530%
20%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Mexico LDDWW
L 4 Oct USA Mexico 3 0 2.90 2.50
D 30 Sept Mexico Peru 1 1 1.45 10.50
D 27 Sept Mexico Colombia 1 1 2.80 2.70
W 1 Jul Mexico Ecuador 2 0 2.27 4.25
W 25 Jun Czechia Mexico 0 3 4.80 1.79
W 19 Jun Mexico South Korea 1 0 2.15 4.10
W 11 Jun Mexico South Africa 2 0 1.50 8.30
W 5 Jun Mexico Serbia 5 1 1.36 10.00
W 31 May Mexico Australia 1 0 1.67 5.50
W 23 May Mexico Ghana 2 0 1.30 11.00
England WWLWL
W 3 Oct Croatia England 0 7 5.00 1.78
W 29 Sept Czechia England 0 2 9.75 1.37
L 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
L 15 Jul England Argentina 1 2 2.82 3.15
W 11 Jul Norway England 1 2 4.30 1.93
W 1 Jul England Congo DR 2 1 1.33 14.50
W 27 Jun Panama England 0 2 19.00 1.18
D 23 Jun England Ghana 0 0 1.22 19.00
W 17 Jun England Croatia 4 2 1.77 5.40

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

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