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Merthyr Town vs Chorley prediction — National League - North

1 2.16
X 3.55
2 3.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Merthyr Town 63%@2.16
Draw 17%@3.55
Chorley 20%@3.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 75%@1.65
Under 2.5 25%@4.95
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 61%@1.57
No 39%@2.38
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 71%@1.56
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Merthyr TownModelChorley
58%Ball possession42%
10Shots8
5Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
1Offside calls0
12Fouls made0
Merthyr TownRealChorley
73%Ball possession27%
12Shots7
6Shots on goal4
10Corner kicks4
0Offside calls2
6Fouls made14
Merthyr TownReal · ModelChorley
73%58%Ball possession27%42%
1210Shots78
65Shots on goal43
104Corner kicks43
01Offside calls20
612Fouls made140

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Merthyr TownPer gameChorley
1.9Goals for / game1.0
1.2Goals against / game1.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Merthyr TownRateChorley
40%Wins30%
90%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Merthyr Town LLDDW
L 26 Sept Merthyr Town Marine 1 2 1.92 3.45
L 22 Sept Truro Merthyr Town 2 0 1.93 3.55
D 19 Sept Merthyr Town Truro 1 1 2.67 2.51
D 12 Sept Scarborough Merthyr Town 0 0 2.05 3.10
W 8 Sept Chester Merthyr Town 0 1 1.64 4.60
W 5 Sept Merthyr Town Macclesfield 2 1 3.40 1.97
L 31 Aug Buxton Merthyr Town 2 1 1.65 4.20
D 22 Aug South Shields Merthyr Town 1 1 1.47 6.75
D 18 Aug Merthyr Town AFC Telford 2 2 2.52 2.65
L 15 Aug Spennymoor Merthyr Town 2 1 2.05 3.25
Chorley WWWLW
W 3 Oct Barton Town Chorley 1 4 5.90 1.43
W 26 Sept Chorley Spalding United 2 1 2.75 2.35
W 19 Sept Rylands Chorley 0 1 3.15 2.09
L 12 Sept King’s Lynn Chorley 2 0 1.94 3.55
W 8 Sept Chorley Darlington 5 2 2.25 2.95
L 5 Sept Oxford City Chorley 4 0 2.15 3.05
D 31 Aug Chorley Brackley Town 2 2 2.23 3.40
W 22 Aug Chorley Scarborough 2 1 2.50 2.65
W 18 Aug Marine Chorley 0 2 2.72 2.57
L 15 Aug South Shields Chorley 2 1 1.52 5.60

Past meetings

Merthyr Town
1·0·1
Chorley
  • Feb 2026 Merthyr Town 2 - 3 Chorley
  • Oct 2025 Chorley 0 - 2 Merthyr Town

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Hereford 11 +17 24
2 Macclesfield 11 +7 22
3 South Shields 11 +3 22
4 Oxford City 11 +11 21
5 Hebburn Town 11 0 19
6 Spalding United 11 +6 18
7 Chester 11 +4 18
8 King’s Lynn 11 +5 17
9 Buxton 11 0 17
10 Bedford 11 0 17
11 Morecambe 11 +5 15
12 Chorley 11 -1 15
13 Merthyr Town 11 +1 14
14 Scarborough 11 +3 13
15 Hednesford 11 0 13
16 Marine 11 0 13
17 Harborough 11 -2 13
18 Worksop 11 -6 13
19 Brackley Town 11 -9 11
20 Southport 11 -7 10
21 AFC Telford 11 -7 10
22 Darlington 11 -9 8
23 Spennymoor 11 -10 8
24 Radcliffe 11 -11 7