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Marseille vs PSG prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
Marseille €181.85m
Full time 1 : 2
PSG €1.36bn
1 6.80
X 5.50
2 1.47

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Paris S win 2 Odds @1.47 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Marseille 10%@6.80
Draw 12%@5.50
PSG 78%@1.47
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.41
Under 2.5 24%@4.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.58
No 53%@2.42
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 2.5 71%@1.58
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MarseilleModelPSG
1.30xG1.75
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots22
5Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls3
11Fouls made9
MarseilleRealPSG
1.29xG4.43
39%Ball possession61%
12Shots31
4Shots on goal10
3Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
9Fouls made3
MarseilleReal · ModelPSG
1.291.30xG4.431.75
39%47%Ball possession61%53%
1213Shots3122
45Shots on goal106
35Corner kicks75
42Yellow cards12
11Offside calls23
911Fouls made39

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MarseillePer gamePSG
1.6Goals for / game1.6
1.8Goals against / game1.4
57%Ball possession66%
15.1Shots per game17.9
5.3Corners per game5.3
1.45Expected goals1.66

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MarseilleRatePSG
40%Wins30%
90%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Marseille LLLLW
L 17 Sept Besiktas(Tur) Marseille(Fra) 4 1 1.80 4.50
L 11 Sept Rennes Marseille 1 0 2.07 3.60
L 6 Sept Marseille Paris FC 2 3 1.97 4.00
L 30 Aug Monaco Marseille 2 0 2.30 3.30
W 21 Aug Marseille Strasbourg 4 0 1.82 4.40
L 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
W 9 Aug Marseille Athletic C 3 1 2.75 2.40
W 30 Jul Marseille Nimes 2 1 1.20 11.00
W 17 May Marseille Rennes 3 1 2.05 3.60
W 10 May Le Havre Marseille 0 1 3.55 2.05
PSG WWLDD
W 13 Sept Brest PSG 0 1 12.00 1.25
W 9 Sept PSG(Fra) Slovan(Svk) 6 1 1.05 55.00
L 4 Sept PSG Monaco 1 2 1.38 8.25
D 28 Aug Lille PSG 2 2 4.85 1.80
D 23 Aug Rennes PSG 2 2 6.40 1.50
L 16 Aug Lens PSG 1 0 5.10 1.75
W 12 Aug PSG Aston Villa 2 1 1.67 5.60
D 8 Aug PSG Manchester Utd 1 1 3.25 2.17
L 5 Aug Mallorca PSG 3 0 3.15 2.10
D 30 May PSG Arsenal 1 1 2.57 3.10

Past meetings

Marseille
1·1·4
PSG
  • Feb 2026 PSG 5 - 0 Marseille
  • Jan 2026 PSG 2 - 2 Marseille
  • Sept 2025 Marseille 1 - 0 PSG
  • Mar 2025 PSG 3 - 1 Marseille
  • Oct 2024 Marseille 0 - 3 PSG
  • Mar 2024 Marseille 0 - 2 PSG

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3
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