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Marseille vs Paris FC prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
Marseille €181.85m
Full time 2 : 3
Paris FC €173.20m
1 1.97
X 3.85
2 4.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
70%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Marseille 54%@1.97
Draw 23%@3.85
Paris FC 23%@4.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.70
Under 3.5 71%@1.51
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.62
No 43%@2.30
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 64%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MarseilleModelParis FC
1.97xG1.56
55%Ball possession45%
18Shots10
9Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made10
MarseilleRealParis FC
1.31xG3.10
60%Ball possession40%
14Shots18
5Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made12
MarseilleReal · ModelParis FC
1.311.97xG3.101.56
60%55%Ball possession40%45%
1418Shots1810
59Shots on goal74
56Corner kicks43
02Yellow cards21
21Offside calls12
1010Fouls made1210

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MarseillePer gameParis FC
1.5Goals for / game1.6
1.4Goals against / game1.4
59%Ball possession48%
16.0Shots per game14.0
5.4Corners per game3.0
1.63Expected goals1.95

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MarseilleRateParis FC
50%Wins40%
90%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Marseille LLLLW
L 20 Sept Marseille PSG 1 2 6.80 1.47
L 17 Sept Besiktas(Tur) Marseille(Fra) 4 1 1.80 4.50
L 11 Sept Rennes Marseille 1 0 2.07 3.60
L 30 Aug Monaco Marseille 2 0 2.30 3.30
W 21 Aug Marseille Strasbourg 4 0 1.82 4.40
L 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
W 9 Aug Marseille Athletic C 3 1 2.75 2.40
W 30 Jul Marseille Nimes 2 1 1.20 11.00
W 17 May Marseille Rennes 3 1 2.05 3.60
W 10 May Le Havre Marseille 0 1 3.55 2.05
Paris FC WDWDL
W 19 Sept Paris FC Strasbourg 2 1 1.85 4.05
D 12 Sept Paris FC Lyon 0 0 2.55 2.75
W 30 Aug Paris FC Nice 3 0 2.05 3.90
D 22 Aug Troyes Paris FC 0 0 3.30 2.20
L 15 Aug Angers(Fra) Paris FC(Fra) 3 2 2.92 2.27
D 12 Aug Paris FC Auxerre 0 0 – –
L 8 Aug Mainz (Ger) Paris FC 4 0 1.85 3.60
L 1 Aug Stuttgart Paris FC 2 1 1.78 3.85
W 18 Jul Paris FC Reims 1 0 – –
W 17 May Paris FC PSG 2 1 5.80 1.60

Past meetings

Marseille
1·1·0
Paris FC
  • Jan 2026 Paris FC 2 - 2 Marseille
  • Aug 2025 Marseille 5 - 2 Paris FC

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3
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