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Marathon vs Esteli prediction — CONCACAF Central American Cup

1 1.88
X 3.20
2 4.45

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
85%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.48 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Marathon 46%@1.88
Draw 31%@3.20
Esteli 23%@4.45
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 21%@5.57
Under 2.5 79%@1.48
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 29%@2.20
No 71%@1.65
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 58%@1.52
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MarathonModelEsteli
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots11
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards0
MarathonRealEsteli
53%Ball possession47%
21Shots13
9Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks2
4Yellow cards3
MarathonReal · ModelEsteli
53%54%Ball possession47%46%
2114Shots1311
95Shots on goal25
75Corner kicks24
42Yellow cards30

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MarathonPer gameEsteli
0.9Goals for / game1.6
0.5Goals against / game0.7
52%Ball possession49%
11.1Shots per game10.2
4.7Corners per game4.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MarathonRateEsteli
30%Wins70%
50%Over 1.580%
10%Over 2.520%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Marathon(Hon) LLWDW
L 21 Sept Juticalpa Marathon 3 2 5.70 1.53
L 18 Sept Alajuelense(Crc) Marathon(Hon) 3 1 2.05 3.70
W 14 Sept Marathon Olimpia 1 0 2.30 3.10
D 11 Sept Marathon(Hon) Alajuelense(Crc) 2 2 2.85 2.60
W 6 Sept Marathon Estrella Roja 5 0 1.65 6.25
W 29 Aug Genesis Marathon 1 2 3.25 2.45
D 23 Aug Marathon Real Espana 1 1 2.30 3.10
L 20 Aug Marathon(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 0 1 1.67 5.00
W 16 Aug Choloma Marathon 0 1 6.10 1.52
W 14 Aug Antigua(Gua) Marathon(Hon) 0 3 2.10 3.45
Esteli(Nca) DDWWL
D 11 Sept Managua Esteli 1 1 2.65 2.60
D 6 Sept Rancho Santana Esteli 1 1 8.70 1.33
W 3 Sept Esteli San Marcos 2 0 1.24 10.50
W 30 Aug H&H Export Esteli 0 5 5.20 1.75
L 23 Aug Esteli Diriangen 0 2 2.35 3.20
L 19 Aug Esteli(Nca) Herediano(Crc) 0 2 2.02 3.45
W 12 Aug Esteli Alianza 3 1 1.68 5.40
W 8 Aug Esteli Ferretti 4 1 1.78 4.10
W 5 Aug Antigua Esteli 0 2 1.95 3.75
W 30 Jul Jalapa Esteli 0 1 3.40 2.30

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Olimpia 6 +12 18
2 Alajuelense 6 +6 13
3 Motagua 6 +9 12
4 Cartagines 6 +7 12
5 Saprissa 6 +3 10
6 Alianza 6 -2 10
7 Marathon 6 +3 8
8 Herediano 4 +2 7
9 Firpo 6 -2 7
10 Municipal 4 +1 6
11 Plaza Amador 4 0 6
12 Mixco 4 0 6
13 Esteli 4 -1 6
14 FAS 4 0 4
15 Xelaju 4 -2 4
16 Alianza 4 -4 3
17 Diriangen 4 -6 3
18 UMECIT 4 -6 0
19 Antigua 4 -7 0
20 Verdes 4 -13 0