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Mansfield vs Luton prediction — League One

League One · England
Mansfield €6.72m
Full time 5 : 2
Luton €27.20m
1 3.05
X 3.60
2 2.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.40 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Mansfield 20%@3.05
Draw 17%@3.60
Luton 63%@2.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.66
Under 2.5 21%@6.24
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.57
No 31%@2.35
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 72%@1.61
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MansfieldModelLuton
1.27xG1.95
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots14
5Shots on goal7
6Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made10
MansfieldRealLuton
1.34xG1.28
42%Ball possession58%
21Shots11
6Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
MansfieldReal · ModelLuton
1.341.27xG1.281.95
42%46%Ball possession58%54%
2114Shots1114
65Shots on goal47
46Corner kicks76
42Yellow cards22
11Offside calls12
1313Fouls made1310

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MansfieldPer gameLuton
2.1Goals for / game2.3
2.2Goals against / game1.3
45%Ball possession52%
13.7Shots per game13.0
5.7Corners per game5.7
1.30Expected goals2.18

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MansfieldRateLuton
40%Wins60%
90%Over 1.590%
90%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Mansfield DDLLL
D 19 Sept Burton Mansfield 2 2 2.55 2.75
D 12 Sept Mansfield Huddersfield 0 0 3.40 2.10
L 5 Sept Bradford Mansfield 1 0 1.85 4.30
L 2 Sept Reading Mansfield 5 0 2.07 3.35
L 22 Aug Peterborough Mansfield 2 1 2.85 2.40
L 19 Aug Mansfield Mancheste 1 4 1.98 3.65
W 15 Aug Mansfield Doncaster 2 1 2.17 3.40
L 9 Aug Mansfield Sheffield Utd 0 3 4.20 2.00
L 31 Jul Mansfield Derby 1 3 2.50 2.45
W 28 Jul Alfreton Mansfield 0 4 6.50 1.42
Luton DWLLD
D 3 Oct Colchester Luton 1 1 4.20 1.70
W 22 Sept Luton Ipswich U21 6 0 1.25 9.00
L 19 Sept Luton Bradford 0 1 2.17 3.40
L 10 Sept Stevenage Luton 2 1 3.30 2.23
D 5 Sept Luton Leyton Orient 1 1 1.62 5.00
W 2 Sept Luton Stockport 2 0 2.70 2.45
L 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
D 22 Aug Luton Notts County 2 2 1.55 5.80
W 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
W 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68

Past meetings

Mansfield
1·1·0
Luton
  • Apr 2026 Mansfield 2 - 2 Luton
  • Oct 2025 Luton 0 - 2 Mansfield

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 +6 19
2 Huddersfield 10 +7 17
3 Bradford 9 +3 17
4 Sheffield Wed 8 +7 15
5 Stockport 9 +7 14
6 Oxford Utd 9 +6 14
7 Cambridge Utd 9 +2 14
8 Reading 9 +7 13
9 Burton 10 -1 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 -2 13
11 Leyton Orient 9 +1 11
12 Leicester 9 -2 11
13 Mansfield 10 -3 11
14 Stevenage 8 +3 10
15 Luton 9 -2 10
16 Wycombe 9 -4 10
17 Blackpool 8 0 9
18 Barnsley 8 -5 9
19 Bromley 8 -10 9
20 Doncaster 9 -1 8
21 Notts County 8 -2 8
22 MK Dons 8 -2 7
23 Wigan 10 -6 7
24 Peterborough 9 -9 6
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