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Manchester Utd vs Manchester City prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Manchester Utd €924.30m
Full time 0 : 1
Manchester City €1.43bn
1 3.15
X 3.90
2 2.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
73%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.53 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Manchester Utd 25%@3.15
Draw 43%@3.90
Manchester City 32%@2.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.53
Under 2.5 27%@4.14
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.44
No 31%@2.75
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.93
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Manchester UtdModelManchester City
2.44xG1.75
46%Ball possession54%
19Shots16
10Shots on goal9
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made11
Manchester UtdRealManchester City
0.96xG0.99
55%Ball possession45%
16Shots6
3Shots on goal2
6Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards2
4Offside calls1
17Fouls made10
Manchester UtdReal · ModelManchester City
0.962.44xG0.991.75
55%46%Ball possession45%54%
1619Shots616
310Shots on goal29
65Corner kicks76
12Yellow cards22
41Offside calls12
1710Fouls made1011

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Manchester UtdPer gameManchester City
2.2Goals for / game1.8
1.4Goals against / game1.1
58%Ball possession62%
14.4Shots per game16.9
3.8Corners per game5.7
1.82Expected goals1.91

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Manchester UtdRateManchester City
40%Wins60%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Manchester Utd DLWDW
D 20 Sept Fulham Manchester Utd 1 1 3.85 2.02
L 16 Sept Manchester Utd Brighton 2 3 1.88 4.05
W 10 Sept Manchester Utd(Eng) Sabah FA(Aze) 4 0 1.09 32.00
D 6 Sept Everton Manchester Utd 2 2 3.80 1.98
W 30 Aug Manchester Utd Ipswich 5 2 1.40 9.00
L 22 Aug Hull Manchester Utd 2 0 9.25 1.39
L 15 Aug Manchester Utd(Eng) AC Milan(Ita) 2 4 1.60 5.00
D 12 Aug Leeds Manchester Utd 1 1 3.45 1.92
D 8 Aug PSG Manchester Utd 1 1 3.25 2.17
W 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20
Manchester City WWWWW
W 20 Sept Manchester City Sunderland 5 3 1.37 9.50
W 17 Sept Manchester City Norwich 5 0 1.19 26.00
W 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 5 Sept Manchester City Coventry 1 0 1.23 14.00
W 28 Aug Crystal Palace Manchester City 1 4 5.40 1.68
W 23 Aug Manchester City Bournemouth 2 1 1.53 6.50
L 16 Aug Arsenal Manchester City 3 0 2.92 2.67
W 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
W 5 Aug K-League S Manchester City 1 3 6.20 1.39
D 1 Aug Manchester City Inter 1 1 2.30 2.95

Past meetings

Manchester Utd
2·1·2
Manchester City
  • Jan 2026 Manchester Utd 2 - 0 Manchester City
  • Sept 2025 Manchester City 3 - 0 Manchester Utd
  • Apr 2025 Manchester Utd 0 - 0 Manchester City
  • Dec 2024 Manchester City 1 - 2 Manchester Utd
  • Mar 2024 Manchester City 3 - 1 Manchester Utd

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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