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Manchester Utd vs Brighton prediction — League Cup

League Cup · England
Manchester Utd €924.30m
Full time 2 : 3
Brighton €603.50m
1 1.88
X 4.35
2 4.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.41 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Manchester Utd 44%@1.88
Draw 27%@4.35
Brighton 29%@4.05
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.41
Under 2.5 23%@4.72
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 74%@1.41
No 26%@2.90
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 56%@1.39
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Manchester UtdModelBrighton
2.23xG1.66
44%Ball possession56%
22Shots17
6Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
11Fouls made13
Manchester UtdRealBrighton
1.02xG2.15
50%Ball possession50%
11Shots18
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards4
0Offside calls2
5Fouls made14
Manchester UtdReal · ModelBrighton
1.022.23xG2.151.66
50%44%Ball possession50%56%
1122Shots1817
46Shots on goal55
46Corner kicks35
02Yellow cards42
01Offside calls22
511Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Manchester UtdPer gameBrighton
2.2Goals for / game2.5
1.4Goals against / game1.1
57%Ball possession68%
15.5Shots per game18.5
4.1Corners per game5.5
1.88Expected goals2.00

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Manchester UtdRateBrighton
40%Wins60%
90%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Manchester Utd DLWDW
D 20 Sept Fulham Manchester Utd 1 1 3.85 2.02
L 13 Sept Manchester Utd Manchester City 0 1 3.15 2.40
W 10 Sept Manchester Utd(Eng) Sabah FA(Aze) 4 0 1.09 32.00
D 6 Sept Everton Manchester Utd 2 2 3.80 1.98
W 30 Aug Manchester Utd Ipswich 5 2 1.40 9.00
L 22 Aug Hull Manchester Utd 2 0 9.25 1.39
L 15 Aug Manchester Utd(Eng) AC Milan(Ita) 2 4 1.60 5.00
D 12 Aug Leeds Manchester Utd 1 1 3.45 1.92
D 8 Aug PSG Manchester Utd 1 1 3.25 2.17
W 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20
Brighton WWDLW
W 19 Sept Brighton Arsenal 3 0 5.10 1.74
W 13 Sept Coventry Brighton 0 5 3.95 1.95
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
L 30 Aug Chelsea Brighton 4 3 1.92 4.15
W 27 Aug Brighton(Eng) Tromso(Nor) 4 0 1.16 20.00
W 23 Aug Brighton Aston Villa 4 0 2.12 3.50
D 20 Aug Tromso(Nor) Brighton(Eng) 0 0 6.20 1.56
W 15 Aug Brighton(Eng) Bologna(Ita) 1 0 1.65 4.65
W 8 Aug Brighton AS Roma 3 0 2.37 2.85
D 1 Aug Brighton Strasbourg 0 0 – –

Past meetings

Manchester Utd
3·0·3
Brighton
  • May 2026 Brighton 0 - 3 Manchester Utd
  • Jan 2026 Manchester Utd 1 - 2 Brighton
  • Oct 2025 Manchester Utd 4 - 2 Brighton
  • Jan 2025 Manchester Utd 1 - 3 Brighton
  • Aug 2024 Brighton 2 - 1 Manchester Utd
  • May 2024 Brighton 0 - 2 Manchester Utd
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