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Manchester City vs Bournemouth prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Manchester City €1.41bn
Full time 2 : 1
Bournemouth €565.88m
1 1.53
X 5.00
2 6.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
71%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.66 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Manchester City 57%@1.53
Draw 24%@5.00
Bournemouth 19%@6.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@4.06
Under 3.5 71%@1.66
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.68
No 45%@2.25
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@3.02
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Manchester CityModelBournemouth
1.76xG1.44
55%Ball possession45%
19Shots12
9Shots on goal5
9Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
9Fouls made12
Manchester CityRealBournemouth
2.36xG0.63
66%Ball possession34%
13Shots5
6Shots on goal4
8Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made11
Manchester CityReal · ModelBournemouth
2.361.76xG0.631.44
66%55%Ball possession34%45%
1319Shots512
69Shots on goal45
89Corner kicks34
11Yellow cards22
21Offside calls12
119Fouls made1112

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Manchester CityPer gameBournemouth
1.9Goals for / game3.0
1.2Goals against / game1.2
60%Ball possession50%
17.2Shots per game14.0
6.6Corners per game6.2
1.79Expected goals1.49

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Manchester CityRateBournemouth
50%Wins50%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Manchester City WWWWW
W 20 Sept Manchester City Sunderland 5 3 1.37 9.50
W 17 Sept Manchester City Norwich 5 0 1.19 26.00
W 13 Sept Manchester Utd Manchester City 0 1 3.15 2.40
W 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 5 Sept Manchester City Coventry 1 0 1.23 14.00
W 28 Aug Crystal Palace Manchester City 1 4 5.40 1.68
L 16 Aug Arsenal Manchester City 3 0 2.92 2.67
W 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
W 5 Aug K-League S Manchester City 1 3 6.20 1.39
D 1 Aug Manchester City Inter 1 1 2.30 2.95
Bournemouth LWDWD
L 20 Sept Bournemouth Liverpool 0 1 3.10 2.30
W 17 Sept Real Sociedad(Esp) Bournemouth(Eng) 1 2 3.60 2.15
D 12 Sept Bournemouth Brentford 2 2 2.37 2.90
W 8 Sept Bournemouth Lincoln 4 0 1.26 12.50
D 5 Sept Newcastle Bournemouth 2 2 2.17 3.40
D 29 Aug Bournemouth Everton 1 1 2.17 3.50
L 15 Aug Mainz (Ger)(Ger) Bournemouth(Eng) 2 1 2.95 2.25
D 8 Aug Betis Bournemouth 2 2 2.60 2.45
W 4 Aug Bournemouth Genoa 10 1 1.55 5.20
W 30 Jul Augsburg Bournemouth 2 5 3.90 1.80

Past meetings

Manchester City
4·1·1
Bournemouth
  • May 2026 Bournemouth 1 - 1 Manchester City
  • Nov 2025 Manchester City 3 - 1 Bournemouth
  • May 2025 Manchester City 3 - 1 Bournemouth
  • Mar 2025 Bournemouth 1 - 2 Manchester City
  • Nov 2024 Bournemouth 2 - 1 Manchester City
  • Feb 2024 Bournemouth 0 - 1 Manchester City

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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