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Malaga vs Villarreal prediction — La Liga

La Liga · Spain
Malaga €55.35m
Full time 1 : 3
Villarreal €331.60m
1 3.55
X 3.65
2 2.12

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Malaga 20%@3.55
Draw 20%@3.65
Villarreal 60%@2.12
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 31%@3.34
Under 3.5 69%@1.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.60
No 40%@2.40
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 69%@1.45
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MalagaModelVillarreal
1.09xG1.58
48%Ball possession52%
10Shots15
3Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
12Fouls made11
MalagaRealVillarreal
0.64xG3.34
37%Ball possession63%
5Shots16
1Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks8
5Yellow cards1
1Offside calls3
17Fouls made10
MalagaReal · ModelVillarreal
0.641.09xG3.341.58
37%48%Ball possession63%52%
510Shots1615
13Shots on goal75
45Corner kicks86
52Yellow cards12
12Offside calls33
1712Fouls made1011

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MalagaPer gameVillarreal
1.4Goals for / game1.4
1.9Goals against / game1.8
44%Ball possession59%
9.0Shots per game15.4
4.2Corners per game7.1
0.80Expected goals1.72

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MalagaRateVillarreal
10%Wins20%
90%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Malaga LDDLD
L 20 Sept Getafe Malaga 1 0 1.94 4.55
D 13 Sept Celta Vigo Malaga 1 1 1.76 5.25
D 6 Sept Malaga Levante 0 0 2.45 3.00
L 30 Aug Real Madrid Malaga 4 0 1.12 26.00
D 24 Aug Malaga Dep. A Coruna 1 1 2.62 3.40
L 19 Aug Atl. Madrid Malaga 2 0 1.52 7.50
D 12 Aug Malaga Fulham 2 2 3.75 2.00
L 7 Aug Ceuta Malaga 2 1 3.35 2.30
W 6 Aug Malaga Al Arabi 4 2 1.93 3.20
D 30 Jul Malaga Al Ittihad 2 2 – –
Villarreal WLLLL
W 20 Sept Villarreal Levante 3 1 1.60 5.60
L 14 Sept Villarreal Betis 1 2 2.00 3.70
L 8 Sept Dortmund(Ger) Villarreal(Esp) 3 2 1.78 4.60
L 5 Sept Villarreal Dep. A Coruna 2 3 1.48 7.00
L 28 Aug Alaves Villarreal 1 0 3.15 2.35
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
D 16 Aug Racing S Villarreal 2 2 3.50 2.12
W 8 Aug Galatasaray Villarreal 1 2 2.55 2.55
W 5 Aug Villarreal Levante 1 0 1.92 4.05
L 1 Aug Lens Villarreal 3 1 2.22 2.92

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 +24 22
2 Atl. Madrid 8 +9 17
3 Betis 8 +2 17
4 Real Madrid 8 +10 16
5 Sevilla 8 +1 14
6 Alaves 8 +5 12
7 Dep. A Coruna 9 +2 12
8 Real Sociedad 8 -4 11
9 Villarreal 8 +1 9
10 Athletic C 7 +1 9
11 Getafe 8 -3 9
12 Rayo Vallecano 8 -5 9
13 Osasuna 8 -7 9
14 Celta Vigo 8 +2 8
15 Espanyol 8 0 8
16 Racing S 8 -10 8
17 Levante 8 -4 7
18 Elche 8 -6 6
19 Valencia 8 -9 5
20 Malaga 8 -9 4
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