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Mainz vs Leverkusen prediction — Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Germany
Mainz €159.70m
Full time 3 : 4
Leverkusen €520.45m
1 3.15
X 3.85
2 2.22

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.40 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Mainz 22%@3.15
Draw 18%@3.85
Leverkusen 60%@2.22
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.57
Under 2.5 24%@4.97
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 73%@1.50
No 27%@2.60
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 69%@1.59
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MainzModelLeverkusen
1.76xG1.85
45%Ball possession55%
17Shots20
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
MainzRealLeverkusen
2.87xG1.66
47%Ball possession53%
23Shots16
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
11Fouls made10
MainzReal · ModelLeverkusen
2.871.76xG1.661.85
47%45%Ball possession53%55%
2317Shots1620
55Shots on goal75
45Corner kicks36
32Yellow cards12
01Offside calls12
1112Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MainzPer gameLeverkusen
3.2Goals for / game2.4
1.0Goals against / game0.9
55%Ball possession62%
20.6Shots per game20.8
6.6Corners per game7.7
2.53Expected goals2.23

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MainzRateLeverkusen
70%Wins70%
80%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Mainz WWWLW
W 17 Oct Schalke Mainz 0 1 2.92 2.42
W 3 Oct Mannheim(Ger) Mainz(Ger) 0 3 – –
W 19 Sept Borussia M Mainz 3 4 3.25 2.15
L 12 Sept Mainz Frankfurt 1 3 1.78 4.20
W 6 Sept Hamburger Mainz 0 5 2.90 2.45
D 29 Aug Mainz Paderborn 0 0 1.57 6.00
W 23 Aug Krieschow Mainz 0 9 – –
W 15 Aug Mainz(Ger) Bournemouth(Eng) 2 1 2.95 2.25
W 8 Aug Mainz Paris FC 4 0 1.85 3.60
D 1 Aug Udinese Mainz 3 3 2.95 2.32
Leverkusen WWWWW
W 22 Oct OFI(Gre) Leverkusen(Ger) 0 2 14.00 1.23
W 18 Oct Leverkusen Freiburg 2 1 1.67 4.90
W 15 Oct Lech Poznan(Pol) Leverkusen(Ger) 0 4 6.50 1.50
W 20 Sept Leverkusen RB Leipzig 2 0 1.90 3.75
W 16 Sept Leverkusen(Ger) Celje(Svn) 2 0 1.08 35.00
D 12 Sept Augsburg Leverkusen 2 2 3.90 1.95
W 5 Sept Leverkusen Union Berlin 4 0 1.37 8.00
L 29 Aug Elversberg Leverkusen 3 2 5.20 1.65
W 22 Aug Wehen Leverkusen 0 4 25.00 1.12
W 15 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Leverkusen(Ger) 1 2 2.26 2.92

Past meetings

Mainz
0·2·3
Leverkusen
  • Feb 2026 Leverkusen 1 - 1 Mainz
  • Oct 2025 Mainz 3 - 4 Leverkusen
  • May 2025 Mainz 2 - 2 Leverkusen
  • Jan 2025 Leverkusen 1 - 0 Mainz
  • Feb 2024 Leverkusen 2 - 1 Mainz

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 +17 16
2 Dortmund 8 +7 16
3 Freiburg 8 +9 15
4 Leverkusen 8 +7 15
5 Mainz 8 +4 12
6 Elversberg 8 +1 12
7 RB Leipzig 8 +5 11
8 Werder Bremen 8 0 11
9 Hamburger 8 -9 11
10 Augsburg 8 +4 10
11 Frankfurt 8 -6 10
12 FC Koln 8 -3 9
13 Stuttgart 8 -2 8
14 Hoffenheim 8 -3 8
15 Schalke 8 -3 7
16 Paderborn 8 -4 7
17 Union Berlin 8 -12 7
18 Borussia M 8 -12 2
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