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Luxembourg vs Iceland prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 3.50
X 3.40
2 2.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.27 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Luxembourg 23%@3.50
Draw 43%@3.40
Iceland 34%@2.35
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@5.08
Under 3.5 80%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@1.87
No 70%@1.87
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.88
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LuxembourgModelIceland
1.16xG1.06
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots8
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
LuxembourgRealIceland
0.22xG2.36
60%Ball possession40%
5Shots13
1Shots on goal4
2Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards4
2Offside calls4
11Fouls made13
LuxembourgReal · ModelIceland
0.221.16xG2.361.06
60%51%Ball possession40%49%
510Shots138
14Shots on goal44
24Corner kicks23
22Yellow cards42
21Offside calls42
1113Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LuxembourgPer gameIceland
0.8Goals for / game1.1
1.2Goals against / game2.1
47%Ball possession49%
9.3Shots per game8.4
3.0Corners per game2.9
0.86Expected goals1.04

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LuxembourgRateIceland
40%Wins10%
60%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.550%
10%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Luxembourg LWWLW
L 3 Oct Estonia Luxembourg 1 0 2.88 2.92
W 26 Sept Bulgaria Luxembourg 1 2 2.50 3.65
W 6 Jun Albania Luxembourg 0 1 1.67 5.90
L 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
W 31 Mar Luxembourg Malta 3 0 1.75 5.60
W 26 Mar Malta Luxembourg 0 2 4.10 2.27
L 17 Nov N. Ireland Luxembourg 1 0 1.95 5.10
L 14 Nov Luxembourg Germany 0 2 23.00 1.10
L 13 Oct Slovakia Luxembourg 2 0 1.33 10.50
L 10 Oct Germany Luxembourg 4 0 1.08 36.00
Iceland WDLLD
W 3 Oct Iceland Bulgaria 3 0 1.60 6.75
D 26 Sept Iceland Estonia 1 1 1.31 12.00
L 10 Jun Argentina Iceland 3 0 1.23 18.50
L 31 May Japan Iceland 1 0 1.20 16.00
D 31 Mar Haiti Iceland 1 1 3.60 2.20
D 28 Mar Canada Iceland 2 2 1.58 6.75
L 26 Feb Mexico Iceland 4 0 1.28 10.50
L 16 Nov Ukraine Iceland 2 0 1.98 4.50
W 13 Nov Azerbaijan Iceland 0 2 6.00 1.53
D 13 Oct Iceland France 2 2 11.50 1.23

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.