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Luton vs Notts County prediction — League One

League One · England
Luton €29.20m
Full time 2 : 2
Notts County €7.15m
1 1.55
X 4.35
2 5.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
64%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.68 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Luton 59%@1.55
Draw 23%@4.35
Notts County 18%@5.80
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 64%@1.68
Under 2.5 36%@2.99
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.77
No 37%@2.00
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.90
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LutonModelNotts County
2.47xG0.86
57%Ball possession43%
18Shots8
10Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
LutonRealNotts County
1.91xG0.79
58%Ball possession42%
13Shots6
4Shots on goal4
8Corner kicks3
5Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made18
LutonReal · ModelNotts County
1.912.47xG0.790.86
58%57%Ball possession42%43%
1318Shots68
410Shots on goal43
87Corner kicks33
52Yellow cards32
12Offside calls12
1511Fouls made1814

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LutonPer gameNotts County
2.5Goals for / game1.2
1.1Goals against / game0.9
58%Ball possession39%
15.5Shots per game7.0
6.3Corners per game2.8
2.62Expected goals0.82

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LutonRateNotts County
70%Wins30%
90%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Luton DWLLD
D 3 Oct Colchester Luton 1 1 4.20 1.70
W 22 Sept Luton Ipswich U21 6 0 1.25 9.00
L 19 Sept Luton Bradford 0 1 2.17 3.40
L 10 Sept Stevenage Luton 2 1 3.30 2.23
D 5 Sept Luton Leyton Orient 1 1 1.62 5.00
W 2 Sept Luton Stockport 2 0 2.70 2.45
L 30 Aug Mansfield Luton 5 2 3.05 2.25
L 27 Aug Chelsea Luton 2 0 1.12 21.00
W 15 Aug Reading Luton 3 4 3.10 2.32
W 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68
Notts County WLLDD
W 22 Sept Notts County Grimsby 2 1 2.75 2.55
L 19 Sept Reading Notts County 2 0 1.82 4.40
L 12 Sept Notts County Bradford 0 1 3.00 2.35
D 5 Sept Huddersfield Notts County 1 1 1.70 5.00
D 1 Sept Doncaster Notts County 1 1 2.20 3.30
W 29 Aug Notts County Burton 2 1 2.10 3.65
D 15 Aug Notts County Leicester 1 1 3.75 2.05
D 8 Aug Burnley Notts County 1 1 1.44 7.70
D 1 Aug Walsall Notts County 0 0 2.82 2.40
L 18 Jul Notts County Nottingham 0 2 5.00 1.57

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 +6 19
2 Huddersfield 10 +7 17
3 Bradford 9 +3 17
4 Sheffield Wed 8 +7 15
5 Stockport 9 +7 14
6 Oxford Utd 9 +6 14
7 Cambridge Utd 9 +2 14
8 Reading 9 +7 13
9 Burton 10 -1 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 -2 13
11 Leyton Orient 9 +1 11
12 Leicester 9 -2 11
13 Mansfield 10 -3 11
14 Stevenage 8 +3 10
15 Luton 9 -2 10
16 Wycombe 9 -4 10
17 Blackpool 8 0 9
18 Barnsley 8 -5 9
19 Bromley 8 -10 9
20 Doncaster 9 -1 8
21 Notts County 8 -2 8
22 MK Dons 8 -2 7
23 Wigan 10 -6 7
24 Peterborough 9 -9 6
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