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Lugano vs St. Gallen prediction — Super League

Super League · Switzerland
Lugano €39.08m
Full time 4 : 1
St. Gallen €31.85m
1 2.15
X 3.90
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.42 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lugano 75%@2.15
Draw 11%@3.90
St. Gallen 14%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.45
Under 2.5 29%@3.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.42
No 57%@2.72
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 71%@1.57
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LuganoModelSt. Gallen
1.69xG1.72
51%Ball possession49%
17Shots19
5Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
LuganoRealSt. Gallen
1.40xG1.14
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots22
8Shots on goal5
2Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls4
11Fouls made14
LuganoReal · ModelSt. Gallen
1.401.69xG1.141.72
49%51%Ball possession51%49%
1217Shots2219
85Shots on goal55
26Corner kicks86
32Yellow cards32
11Offside calls42
1113Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LuganoPer gameSt. Gallen
3.0Goals for / game2.0
0.9Goals against / game1.7
55%Ball possession56%
17.9Shots per game21.0
6.2Corners per game6.8
1.77Expected goals2.46

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LuganoRateSt. Gallen
70%Wins40%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.570%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lugano LWDWW
L 2 Oct Lugano(Sui) Verona(Ita) 1 3 2.40 2.82
W 20 Sept Lausanne Lugano 0 4 3.80 1.96
D 12 Sept Lugano Young Boys 2 2 2.18 3.15
W 6 Sept Basel (Sui) Lugano 1 3 3.15 2.18
W 3 Sept Lugano Servette 1 0 2.50 2.67
W 30 Aug Sion Lugano 1 2 2.40 2.95
D 27 Aug Maccabi(Isr) Lugano(Sui) 1 1 2.52 2.70
W 20 Aug Lugano(Sui) Maccabi(Isr) 2 1 1.80 4.35
W 16 Aug Vedeggio Lugano 1 10 – –
D 13 Aug NSI Runavik(Fro) Lugano(Sui) 2 2 7.50 1.40
St. Gallen DWLWL
D 3 Oct Bruhl(Sui) St. Gallen(Sui) 3 3 – –
W 20 Sept Basel (Sui) St. Gallen 1 3 2.57 2.43
L 12 Sept St. Gallen Sion 0 3 2.15 3.00
W 6 Sept Servette St. Gallen 0 2 2.22 2.87
L 2 Sept Grasshoppers St. Gallen 2 0 5.10 1.66
L 30 Aug St. Gallen Thun 3 4 1.64 4.85
L 27 Aug St. Gallen(Sui) Nordsjaelland(Den) 2 3 2.18 3.00
L 20 Aug Nordsjaelland(Den) St. Gallen(Sui) 1 0 1.57 5.20
W 16 Aug Thalwil St. Gallen 0 3 – –
W 13 Aug St. Gallen(Sui) Sheriff(Mda) 5 1 1.33 9.50

Past meetings

Lugano
1·2·3
St. Gallen
  • May 2026 Lugano 1 - 2 St. Gallen
  • Mar 2026 St. Gallen 1 - 1 Lugano
  • Nov 2025 Lugano 1 - 0 St. Gallen
  • Sept 2025 St. Gallen 1 - 0 Lugano
  • Apr 2025 Lugano 1 - 1 St. Gallen
  • Feb 2025 St. Gallen 2 - 1 Lugano

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lugano 10 +20 26
2 Young Boys 10 +13 20
3 Sion 10 +9 20
4 Basel (Sui) 10 0 14
5 St. Gallen 10 -3 14
6 Luzern 10 -1 13
7 Zurich 10 -6 12
8 Servette 10 -2 11
9 Thun 10 -8 11
10 Grasshoppers 10 -11 9
11 Vaduz 10 -3 7
12 Lausanne 10 -8 7
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