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Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction — Premier League - Summer Series

Premier League - Summer Series · England
Liverpool €1.02bn
Full time 4 : 2
Sunderland €381.95m
1 1.50
X 4.35
2 5.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.52 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Liverpool 62%@1.50
Draw 20%@4.35
Sunderland 18%@5.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.52
Under 2.5 23%@5.09
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 65%@1.65
No 35%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 71%@1.74
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LiverpoolModelSunderland
1.67xG1.15
52%Ball possession48%
17Shots11
8Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
LiverpoolRealSunderland
1.32xG0.72
63%Ball possession37%
14Shots11
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks1
0Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
18Fouls made9
LiverpoolReal · ModelSunderland
1.321.67xG0.721.15
63%52%Ball possession37%48%
1417Shots1111
68Shots on goal55
47Corner kicks14
02Yellow cards13
02Offside calls11
1811Fouls made912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LiverpoolPer gameSunderland
1.3Goals for / game1.7
1.9Goals against / game1.5
52%Ball possession49%
13.7Shots per game13.4
5.8Corners per game4.3
1.35Expected goals1.33

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LiverpoolRateSunderland
30%Wins50%
100%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Liverpool WWDWW
W 20 Sept Bournemouth Liverpool 0 1 3.10 2.30
W 15 Sept Liverpool Tottenham 3 1 2.07 3.85
D 12 Sept Liverpool Fulham 0 0 1.57 6.10
W 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
W 4 Sept Ipswich Liverpool 0 2 6.00 1.67
D 29 Aug Liverpool Nottingham 2 2 1.53 6.75
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Liverpool(Eng) Como(Ita) 0 0 1.83 3.70
L 9 Aug Liverpool Monaco 2 3 1.45 6.10
L 2 Aug Liverpool Leeds 2 4 2.02 3.90
Sunderland LWLWD
L 20 Sept Manchester City Sunderland 5 3 1.37 9.50
W 16 Sept Sunderland(Eng) AZ Alkmaar(Ned) 1 0 1.55 6.50
L 12 Sept Sunderland Arsenal 0 2 6.40 1.67
W 8 Sept Sunderland Hull 1 0 1.78 5.10
D 5 Sept Brentford Sunderland 1 1 1.80 5.20
W 30 Aug Sunderland Fulham 1 0 2.32 3.30
L 22 Aug Ipswich Sunderland 2 1 2.80 2.70
W 15 Aug Sunderland(Eng) Rennes(Fra) 2 1 2.33 3.00
W 8 Aug Lens Sunderland 0 2 2.47 2.70
W 2 Aug Wrexham Sunderland 0 1 3.65 2.00

Past meetings

Liverpool
1·1·0
Sunderland
  • Feb 2026 Sunderland 0 - 1 Liverpool
  • Dec 2025 Liverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland
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