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Liverpool vs Leeds prediction — Premier League - Summer Series

Premier League - Summer Series · England
Liverpool €1.02bn
Full time 2 : 4
Leeds €346.03m
1 2.02
X 4.10
2 3.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Liverpool 67%@2.02
Draw 16%@4.10
Leeds 17%@3.90
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 62%@1.45
Under 2.5 38%@2.37
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 36%@1.43
No 64%@2.77
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 62%@1.47
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LiverpoolModelLeeds
1.45xG1.14
55%Ball possession45%
15Shots10
7Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made7
LiverpoolRealLeeds
1.14xG2.22
57%Ball possession43%
9Shots15
3Shots on goal7
3Corner kicks7
0Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
11Fouls made10
LiverpoolReal · ModelLeeds
1.141.45xG2.221.14
57%55%Ball possession43%45%
915Shots1510
37Shots on goal75
36Corner kicks72
01Yellow cards22
21Offside calls01
1112Fouls made107

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LiverpoolPer gameLeeds
1.8Goals for / game1.5
1.5Goals against / game1.2
57%Ball possession47%
14.6Shots per game10.1
6.2Corners per game3.2
1.41Expected goals1.23

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LiverpoolRateLeeds
50%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Liverpool WWDWW
W 20 Sept Bournemouth Liverpool 0 1 3.10 2.30
W 15 Sept Liverpool Tottenham 3 1 2.07 3.85
D 12 Sept Liverpool Fulham 0 0 1.57 6.10
W 9 Sept Liverpool(Eng) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 2 1 1.80 4.75
W 4 Sept Ipswich Liverpool 0 2 6.00 1.67
D 29 Aug Liverpool Nottingham 2 2 1.53 6.75
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Liverpool(Eng) Como(Ita) 0 0 1.83 3.70
L 9 Aug Liverpool Monaco 2 3 1.45 6.10
W 30 Jul Liverpool Wrexham 1 0 1.42 5.40
Leeds DWLDD
D 20 Sept Leeds Crystal Palace 0 0 1.75 5.00
W 14 Sept Leeds Newcastle 4 1 2.40 3.05
L 9 Sept Chelsea Leeds 6 3 1.95 3.95
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
D 30 Aug Leeds Brentford 1 1 2.88 2.47
W 25 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 2 2.47 3.05
W 22 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 1 2.50 3.05
W 15 Aug Leeds(Eng) Augsburg(Ger) 4 0 1.72 4.30
D 12 Aug Leeds Manchester Utd 1 1 3.45 1.92
W 8 Aug Leeds RB Leipzig 2 0 – –

Past meetings

Liverpool
0·2·0
Leeds
  • Jan 2026 Liverpool 0 - 0 Leeds
  • Dec 2025 Leeds 3 - 3 Liverpool
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