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Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid prediction — UEFA Champions League

1 1.80
X 4.20
2 4.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.58 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Liverpool 62%@1.80
Draw 20%@4.20
Atl. Madrid 18%@4.75
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 78%@1.58
Under 2.5 22%@5.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.57
No 31%@2.45
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 86%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LiverpoolModelAtl. Madrid
1.55xG0.86
53%Ball possession47%
15Shots12
9Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
LiverpoolRealAtl. Madrid
1.69xG0.80
45%Ball possession55%
14Shots9
5Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls5
11Fouls made10
LiverpoolReal · ModelAtl. Madrid
1.691.55xG0.800.86
45%53%Ball possession55%47%
1415Shots912
59Shots on goal45
75Corner kicks55
12Yellow cards12
32Offside calls52
1113Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LiverpoolPer gameAtl. Madrid
1.8Goals for / game1.7
1.8Goals against / game1.8
53%Ball possession51%
13.7Shots per game11.6
4.5Corners per game4.7
1.41Expected goals0.99

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LiverpoolRateAtl. Madrid
30%Wins50%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Liverpool(Eng) WWDWD
W 20 Sept Bournemouth Liverpool 0 1 3.10 2.30
W 15 Sept Liverpool Tottenham 3 1 2.07 3.85
D 12 Sept Liverpool Fulham 0 0 1.57 6.10
W 4 Sept Ipswich Liverpool 0 2 6.00 1.67
D 29 Aug Liverpool Nottingham 2 2 1.53 6.75
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Liverpool(Eng) Como(Ita) 0 0 1.83 3.70
L 9 Aug Liverpool Monaco 2 3 1.45 6.10
L 2 Aug Liverpool Leeds 2 4 2.02 3.90
W 30 Jul Liverpool Wrexham 1 0 1.42 5.40
Atl. Madrid(Esp) WWWLW
W 20 Sept Atl. Madrid Real Madrid 2 1 3.60 2.05
W 16 Sept Atl. Madrid Osasuna 4 0 1.36 10.50
W 13 Sept Real Sociedad Atl. Madrid 0 3 3.45 2.17
L 5 Sept Athletic C Atl. Madrid 3 0 3.00 2.55
W 29 Aug Sevilla Atl. Madrid 1 3 4.30 2.00
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
W 19 Aug Atl. Madrid Malaga 2 0 1.52 7.50
W 14 Aug Marseille(Fra) Atl. Madrid(Esp) 1 2 3.05 2.22
L 9 Aug Manchester City Atl. Madrid 3 1 1.82 3.90
L 1 Aug Manchester Utd Atl. Madrid 2 1 2.25 3.20

Past meetings

Liverpool(Eng)
1·0·0
Atl. Madrid(Esp)
  • Sept 2025 Liverpool 3 - 2 Atl. Madrid