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Lithuania vs Azerbaijan prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Lithuania €21.12m
Full time 1 : 1
Azerbaijan €16.38m
1 2.35
X 2.95
2 3.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
66%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lithuania 51%@2.35
Draw 27%@2.95
Azerbaijan 22%@3.65
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 30%@3.38
Under 2.5 70%@1.45
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@2.25
No 60%@1.65
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 62%@1.40
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LithuaniaModelAzerbaijan
1.11xG0.57
55%Ball possession45%
12Shots10
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
LithuaniaRealAzerbaijan
1.10xG0.85
51%Ball possession49%
9Shots9
3Shots on goal4
0Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards3
3Offside calls0
15Fouls made16
LithuaniaReal · ModelAzerbaijan
1.101.11xG0.850.57
51%55%Ball possession49%45%
912Shots910
34Shots on goal44
05Corner kicks24
12Yellow cards32
32Offside calls02
1513Fouls made1613

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LithuaniaPer gameAzerbaijan
0.8Goals for / game1.3
1.5Goals against / game1.6
48%Ball possession40%
9.4Shots per game9.7
4.2Corners per game4.0

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LithuaniaRateAzerbaijan
20%Wins30%
80%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lithuania LWWDL
L 4 Oct Azerbaijan Lithuania 1 0 2.60 3.25
W 30 Sept Lithuania Andorra 3 0 1.64 6.70
W 24 Sept Liechtenstein Lithuania 0 2 14.50 1.33
D 6 Jun Lithuania Latvia 1 1 2.27 3.15
L 29 Mar Lithuania Georgia 0 2 5.30 1.70
W 26 Mar Moldova Lithuania 0 2 3.00 2.75
L 17 Nov Netherlands Lithuania 4 0 1.06 45.00
D 13 Nov Lithuania Israel 0 0 5.00 1.65
L 12 Oct Lithuania Poland 0 2 8.75 1.36
L 9 Oct Finland Lithuania 2 1 1.45 8.00
Azerbaijan WDWWL
W 4 Oct Azerbaijan Lithuania 1 0 2.60 3.25
D 1 Oct Azerbaijan Liechtenstein 0 0 1.12 28.00
W 23 Sept Azerbaijan Tajikistan 1 0 2.00 4.60
W 9 Jun Azerbaijan San Marino 2 1 1.17 18.00
L 5 Jun Azerbaijan Malta 0 2 2.05 4.80
D 30 Mar Azerbaijan Sierra Leone 1 1 1.66 5.40
W 27 Mar Azerbaijan St. Lucia 6 1 1.09 26.00
L 16 Nov Azerbaijan France 1 3 40.00 1.13
L 13 Nov Azerbaijan Iceland 0 2 6.00 1.53
L 13 Oct Ukraine Azerbaijan 2 1 1.22 12.50

Past meetings

Lithuania
0·0·1
Azerbaijan
  • Oct 2026 Azerbaijan 1 - 0 Lithuania
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