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Lions vs Melbourne City prediction — Australia Cup

Australia Cup · Australia
1 3.65
X 3.95
2 1.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
63%Chance
Melbourne City win 2 Odds @1.90 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lions 19%@3.65
Draw 18%@3.95
Melbourne City 63%@1.90
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.43
Under 3.5 70%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.62
No 55%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 79%@1.58
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LionsModelMelbourne City
0.00xG1.68
53%Ball possession47%
13Shots16
6Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks6
0Yellow cards2
0Offside calls3
0Fouls made11
LionsRealMelbourne City
1.93xG0.26
41%Ball possession59%
18Shots5
6Shots on goal2
11Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
6Fouls made9
LionsReal · ModelMelbourne City
1.930.00xG0.261.68
41%53%Ball possession59%47%
1813Shots516
66Shots on goal27
115Corner kicks56
30Yellow cards12
10Offside calls03
60Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LionsPer gameMelbourne City
2.2Goals for / game1.7
0.7Goals against / game0.7
59%Ball possession52%
15.7Shots per game15.0
5.8Corners per game5.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LionsRateMelbourne City
80%Wins60%
60%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lions LWWWW
L 15 Sept South Melbourne Lions 3 1 1.90 3.85
W 12 Sept Lions Peninsula 1 0 1.72 4.20
W 30 Aug Lions Peninsula 4 1 1.76 3.85
W 25 Aug Lions North S 4 0 1.34 9.50
W 14 Aug Moreton C Lions 0 2 2.43 2.93
W 7 Aug Lions Brisbane II 4 2 1.28 8.50
W 1 Aug Lions Peninsula 1 0 1.97 3.20
D 21 Jul Lions Perth Glory 0 0 3.30 2.00
W 18 Jul Gold Coast Utd Lions 0 1 7.50 1.31
W 12 Jul Lions Eastern Suburbs 1 0 1.50 4.60
Melbourne City LWDLW
L 7 Aug Melbourne City Palermo 0 2 5.78 1.53
W 26 Jul Weston Bears Melbourne City 0 3 15.00 1.21
D 2 May Auckland Melbourne City 1 1 2.35 3.20
L 26 Apr Melbourne City Adelaide U 1 2 2.17 3.35
W 18 Apr Brisbane Roar Melbourne City 2 3 3.80 2.05
W 12 Apr Melbourne City Wellingto 2 0 1.82 4.80
W 7 Apr Melbourne City Central C 2 1 1.50 7.40
W 4 Apr Melbourne City WS Wanderers 3 0 1.88 4.10
D 22 Mar Perth Glory Melbourne City 1 1 4.15 1.95
W 17 Mar Sydney Melbourne City 0 1 2.47 3.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Melbourne 5 +7 11
2 South Melbourne 5 +4 11
3 Sydney 4 +5 9
4 Lions 4 +4 7
5 Preston Lions 3 +3 6
6 Macarthur 2 +3 4
7 Heidelberg Utd 2 +3 4
8 WS Wanderers 2 +2 4
9 Fremantle City 2 +1 4
10 APIA Leichhardt 3 0 4
11 SD Raiders 3 0 4
12 North S 3 -3 4
13 Brisbane Roar 2 +1 3
14 Brunswick J 2 +1 3
15 Melbourne City 2 +1 3
16 Sydney Utd 2 0 2
17 Central C 1 0 1
18 Perth Glory 1 0 1
19 FK Beograd 1 -1 0
20 Newcastle Jets 1 -1 0
21 Adelaide U 1 -1 0
22 Maitland 1 -1 0
23 Peninsula 1 -1 0
24 Rochedale 1 -1 0
25 Cooma T 1 -2 0
26 Cumberland Utd. 1 -3 0
27 Sydney Olympic 1 -3 0
28 Uni Azzurri 1 -3 0
29 Weston Bears 1 -3 0
30 Bayswater 1 -4 0
31 Kingborou 1 -4 0
32 Marlin Coast 1 -4 0