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Lille vs PSG prediction — Ligue 1

Ligue 1 · France
1 4.85
X 3.90
2 1.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.23 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lille 19%@4.85
Draw 24%@3.90
PSG 57%@1.80
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 77%@1.23
Under 1.5 23%@4.12
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.68
No 44%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 69%@1.44
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LilleModelPSG
1.22xG1.56
46%Ball possession54%
10Shots19
7Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
10Fouls made9
LilleRealPSG
1.09xG1.29
27%Ball possession73%
9Shots18
4Shots on goal4
0Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
5Offside calls0
11Fouls made7
LilleReal · ModelPSG
1.091.22xG1.291.56
27%46%Ball possession73%54%
910Shots1819
47Shots on goal48
04Corner kicks57
22Yellow cards12
52Offside calls03
1110Fouls made79

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LillePer gamePSG
1.7Goals for / game1.1
0.9Goals against / game1.2
56%Ball possession62%
12.4Shots per game14.5
5.2Corners per game6.0
1.32Expected goals1.12

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LilleRatePSG
60%Wins30%
70%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lille WLWLW
W 2 Oct Lille(Fra) Waregem(Bel) 2 1 – –
L 20 Sept Nice Lille 2 1 3.25 2.20
W 13 Sept Lille Troyes 2 0 1.55 7.00
L 8 Sept Lille(Fra) Betis(Esp) 2 3 2.22 3.50
W 3 Sept Toulouse Lille 0 1 4.10 2.00
W 23 Aug Angers Lille 0 2 4.85 1.82
D 15 Aug Everton(Eng) Lille(Fra) 1 1 2.22 3.30
W 8 Aug Hamburger Lille 0 1 3.45 1.85
W 1 Aug Leuven Lille 3 6 4.60 1.67
W 18 Jul Lille RAAL L 3 0 1.29 8.70
PSG WWWLD
W 20 Sept Marseille PSG 1 2 6.80 1.47
W 13 Sept Brest PSG 0 1 12.00 1.25
W 9 Sept PSG(Fra) Slovan(Svk) 6 1 1.05 55.00
L 4 Sept PSG Monaco 1 2 1.38 8.25
D 23 Aug Rennes PSG 2 2 6.40 1.50
L 16 Aug Lens PSG 1 0 5.10 1.75
W 12 Aug PSG Aston Villa 2 1 1.67 5.60
D 8 Aug PSG Manchester Utd 1 1 3.25 2.17
L 5 Aug Mallorca PSG 3 0 3.15 2.10
D 30 May PSG Arsenal 1 1 2.57 3.10

Past meetings

Lille
0·1·4
PSG
  • Jan 2026 PSG 3 - 0 Lille
  • Oct 2025 Lille 1 - 1 PSG
  • Mar 2025 PSG 4 - 1 Lille
  • Sept 2024 Lille 1 - 3 PSG
  • Feb 2024 PSG 3 - 1 Lille

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 +5 14
2 Lyon 6 +8 12
3 Paris FC 6 +5 12
4 Lille 6 +4 11
5 Rennes 6 -1 11
6 PSG 6 +1 9
7 Angers 6 +1 8
8 Strasbourg 6 0 8
9 Le Mans 7 0 8
10 Toulouse 7 -2 7
11 Auxerre 6 -5 7
12 Brest 6 -1 6
13 Lorient 6 -1 6
14 Nice 6 -3 6
15 Lens 6 0 5
16 Troyes 6 -7 5
17 Marseille 6 -1 4
18 Le Havre 6 -3 3