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Libertad vs U. Catolica prediction — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Libertad €5.68m
Full time 2 : 1
U. Catolica €14.15m
1 4.25
X 3.60
2 1.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
95%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.32 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Libertad 16%@4.25
Draw 18%@3.60
U. Catolica 66%@1.95
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 5%@25.08
Under 3.5 95%@1.32
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 24%@1.87
No 76%@1.96
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 74%@1.45
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LibertadModelU. Catolica
0.74xG1.28
42%Ball possession58%
10Shots17
4Shots on goal7
3Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made12
LibertadRealU. Catolica
1.07xG1.11
34%Ball possession66%
19Shots16
6Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls4
11Fouls made6
LibertadReal · ModelU. Catolica
1.070.74xG1.111.28
34%42%Ball possession66%58%
1910Shots1617
64Shots on goal67
53Corner kicks55
22Yellow cards32
11Offside calls41
1115Fouls made612

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LibertadPer gameU. Catolica
1.3Goals for / game1.8
0.9Goals against / game0.8
42%Ball possession59%
9.7Shots per game14.1
3.0Corners per game4.6
0.81Expected goals1.17

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LibertadRateU. Catolica
50%Wins60%
60%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Libertad WLWDL
W 20 Sept Emelec Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20
L 14 Sept Libertad Ind. del Valle 2 3 3.85 2.07
W 7 Sept Dep. Cuenca Libertad 0 1 1.75 4.80
D 4 Sept Libertad Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20
L 30 Aug Aucas Libertad 1 0 1.55 6.40
W 25 Aug Libertad Macara 1 0 3.20 2.28
D 15 Aug Guayaquil City Libertad 2 2 1.96 4.10
W 1 Aug Libertad Orense 3 0 2.85 2.50
W 27 Jul Mushuc Runa Libertad 0 2 1.60 5.70
W 21 Jul Libertad Delfin 1 0 2.30 3.25
U. Catolica LWWWD
L 21 Sept LDU Quito U. Catolica 2 1 2.10 3.70
W 15 Sept U. Catolica Orense 2 1 1.45 6.50
W 10 Sept Astillero U. Catolica 0 1 – –
W 6 Sept Delfin U. Catolica 0 1 3.75 2.20
D 3 Sept U. Catolica Aucas 1 1 1.92 4.25
D 29 Aug Ind. del Valle U. Catolica 2 2 1.66 5.10
W 22 Aug U. Catolica Manta 5 1 1.28 10.00
D 18 Aug Macara U. Catolica 1 1 3.75 2.00
W 1 Aug U. Catolica Tecnico U. 5 0 1.50 6.50
D 27 Jul Guayaquil City U. Catolica 0 0 4.15 1.95

Past meetings

Libertad
2·3·1
U. Catolica
  • Apr 2026 U. Catolica 2 - 0 Libertad
  • Nov 2025 U. Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
  • Oct 2025 Libertad 1 - 1 U. Catolica
  • Aug 2025 U. Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
  • Apr 2025 Libertad 3 - 1 U. Catolica
  • Aug 2024 U. Catolica 1 - 2 Libertad

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Ind. del Valle 31 +38 72
2 Macara 32 +9 55
3 U. Catolica 32 +23 52
4 Aucas 32 +4 51
5 LDU Quito 32 +8 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 +7 45
7 Libertad 32 0 45
8 Leones d 32 +1 44
9 Guayaquil City 32 -3 41
10 Mushuc Runa 32 -3 40
11 Emelec 32 -10 40
12 Dep. Cuenca 32 -12 38
13 Orense 32 -12 34
14 Tecnico U. 32 -14 34
15 Delfin 32 -12 30
16 Manta 32 -24 25
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