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Libertad vs Macara prediction — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Libertad €5.07m
Full time 1 : 0
Macara €8.70m
1 3.20
X 3.20
2 2.28

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
82%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.23 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Libertad 22%@3.20
Draw 21%@3.20
Macara 57%@2.28
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 18%@5.60
Under 3.5 82%@1.23
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.93
No 41%@1.82
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.86
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LibertadModelMacara
0.94xG1.29
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made14
LibertadRealMacara
1.18xG0.45
37%Ball possession63%
16Shots17
4Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
LibertadReal · ModelMacara
1.180.94xG0.451.29
37%49%Ball possession63%51%
1612Shots1712
45Shots on goal36
63Corner kicks44
32Yellow cards23
31Offside calls11
1314Fouls made1114

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LibertadPer gameMacara
1.3Goals for / game1.7
0.9Goals against / game1.0
40%Ball possession44%
11.5Shots per game12.0
3.4Corners per game4.4
0.88Expected goals1.33

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LibertadRateMacara
50%Wins50%
60%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Libertad WLWDL
W 20 Sept Emelec Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20
L 14 Sept Libertad Ind. del Valle 2 3 3.85 2.07
W 7 Sept Dep. Cuenca Libertad 0 1 1.75 4.80
D 4 Sept Libertad Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20
L 30 Aug Aucas Libertad 1 0 1.55 6.40
D 15 Aug Guayaquil City Libertad 2 2 1.96 4.10
W 10 Aug Libertad U. Catolica 2 1 4.25 1.95
W 1 Aug Libertad Orense 3 0 2.85 2.50
W 27 Jul Mushuc Runa Libertad 0 2 1.60 5.70
W 21 Jul Libertad Delfin 1 0 2.30 3.25
Macara WWLWW
W 19 Sept Aucas Macara 1 2 2.12 3.95
W 13 Sept Macara Emelec 1 0 1.89 4.40
L 6 Sept Ind. del Valle Macara 3 1 1.43 7.40
W 2 Sept Macara Manta 4 3 1.47 7.00
W 30 Aug Orense Macara 1 2 2.23 3.50
D 20 Aug Macara(Ecu) Santos(Bra) 0 0 2.20 3.75
D 18 Aug Macara U. Catolica 1 1 3.75 2.00
L 13 Aug Santos(Bra) Macara(Ecu) 2 1 1.40 8.75
W 9 Aug Barcelona SC Macara 1 2 1.80 5.00
W 2 Aug Macara Guayaquil City 2 1 1.57 6.25

Past meetings

Libertad
0·1·4
Macara
  • Apr 2026 Macara 3 - 0 Libertad
  • Sept 2025 Macara 1 - 1 Libertad
  • May 2025 Libertad 0 - 1 Macara
  • Aug 2024 Libertad 0 - 1 Macara
  • Mar 2024 Macara 3 - 0 Libertad

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Ind. del Valle 31 +38 72
2 Macara 32 +9 55
3 U. Catolica 32 +23 52
4 Aucas 32 +4 51
5 LDU Quito 32 +8 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 +7 45
7 Libertad 32 0 45
8 Leones d 32 +1 44
9 Guayaquil City 32 -3 41
10 Mushuc Runa 32 -3 40
11 Emelec 32 -10 40
12 Dep. Cuenca 32 -12 38
13 Orense 32 -12 34
14 Tecnico U. 32 -14 34
15 Delfin 32 -12 30
16 Manta 32 -24 25
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