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Libertad vs Emelec prediction — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Libertad €4.82m
Full time 1 : 1
Emelec €13.23m
1 2.38
X 3.10
2 3.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.37 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Libertad 56%@2.38
Draw 22%@3.10
Emelec 22%@3.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 20%@6.16
Under 2.5 80%@1.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 35%@2.10
No 65%@1.75
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 66%@1.79
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LibertadModelEmelec
0.92xG0.97
47%Ball possession53%
12Shots11
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
LibertadRealEmelec
1.28xG0.77
51%Ball possession49%
16Shots13
8Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
0Offside calls3
10Fouls made12
LibertadReal · ModelEmelec
1.280.92xG0.770.97
51%47%Ball possession49%53%
1612Shots1311
85Shots on goal45
64Corner kicks53
22Yellow cards12
01Offside calls32
1013Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LibertadPer gameEmelec
1.2Goals for / game0.9
0.5Goals against / game1.5
40%Ball possession45%
12.5Shots per game11.8
3.8Corners per game3.8
0.93Expected goals1.02

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LibertadRateEmelec
60%Wins30%
40%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Libertad WLWLW
W 20 Sept Emelec Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20
L 14 Sept Libertad Ind. del Valle 2 3 3.85 2.07
W 7 Sept Dep. Cuenca Libertad 0 1 1.75 4.80
L 30 Aug Aucas Libertad 1 0 1.55 6.40
W 25 Aug Libertad Macara 1 0 3.20 2.28
D 15 Aug Guayaquil City Libertad 2 2 1.96 4.10
W 10 Aug Libertad U. Catolica 2 1 4.25 1.95
W 1 Aug Libertad Orense 3 0 2.85 2.50
W 27 Jul Mushuc Runa Libertad 0 2 1.60 5.70
W 21 Jul Libertad Delfin 1 0 2.30 3.25
Emelec LLWWL
L 20 Sept Emelec Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20
L 13 Sept Macara Emelec 1 0 1.89 4.40
W 8 Sept Emelec Manta 1 0 1.66 6.00
W 31 Aug Emelec Leones d 2 1 1.85 4.70
L 24 Aug LDU Quito Emelec 2 0 1.57 5.80
W 16 Aug Emelec Tecnico U. 2 1 1.70 5.50
D 10 Aug Guayaquil City Emelec 0 0 2.95 2.48
L 2 Aug Emelec Aucas 0 2 2.25 3.40
L 28 Jul Dep. Cuenca Emelec 2 1 2.32 3.40
D 24 Jul Emelec Mushuc Runa 1 1 1.82 4.40

Past meetings

Libertad
2·3·1
Emelec
  • Sept 2026 Emelec 1 - 2 Libertad
  • May 2026 Emelec 1 - 1 Libertad
  • Aug 2025 Libertad 1 - 2 Emelec
  • Apr 2025 Emelec 1 - 1 Libertad
  • Nov 2024 Libertad 2 - 1 Emelec
  • Jun 2024 Emelec 0 - 0 Libertad

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Ind. del Valle 31 +38 72
2 Macara 32 +9 55
3 U. Catolica 32 +23 52
4 Aucas 32 +4 51
5 LDU Quito 32 +8 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 +7 45
7 Libertad 32 0 45
8 Leones d 32 +1 44
9 Guayaquil City 32 -3 41
10 Mushuc Runa 32 -3 40
11 Emelec 32 -10 40
12 Dep. Cuenca 32 -12 38
13 Orense 32 -12 34
14 Tecnico U. 32 -14 34
15 Delfin 32 -12 30
16 Manta 32 -24 25
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