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Leon vs Monterrey prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
Leon €49.90m
Full time 1 : 0
Monterrey €74.43m
1 3.00
X 3.50
2 2.27

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
77%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.70 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Leon 28%@3.00
Draw 24%@3.50
Monterrey 48%@2.27
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.70
Under 2.5 23%@5.69
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.56
No 42%@2.37
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 59%@1.64
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LeonModelMonterrey
1.02xG1.72
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots16
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
LeonRealMonterrey
0.61xG0.07
42%Ball possession58%
6Shots2
3Shots on goal0
1Corner kicks5
0Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
5Fouls made10
LeonReal · ModelMonterrey
0.611.02xG0.071.72
42%48%Ball possession58%52%
613Shots216
37Shots on goal07
15Corner kicks55
02Yellow cards12
01Offside calls12
513Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LeonPer gameMonterrey
2.2Goals for / game2.2
1.4Goals against / game1.4
47%Ball possession54%
14.0Shots per game15.8
5.3Corners per game5.1
1.11Expected goals1.51

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LeonRateMonterrey
70%Wins60%
60%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Leon WDWLW
W 28 Sept Leon Juarez 2 1 1.57 6.90
D 21 Sept Queretaro Leon 1 1 2.72 2.65
W 15 Sept Leon Atl. San Luis 2 0 1.83 4.15
L 11 Sept UNAM Pumas Leon 3 1 2.20 3.30
W 6 Sept Leon(Mex) Club America(Mex) 1 0 3.30 2.15
L 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
D 29 Aug Atlante Leon 1 1 2.57 2.65
W 26 Aug Leon(Mex) Real Salt Lake(Usa) 3 0 2.95 2.50
W 18 Aug Necaxa Leon 1 2 2.72 2.70
W 13 Aug Inter Miami Leon 2 3 1.91 3.85
Monterrey WLWDL
W 4 Oct Monterrey(Mex) Toluca(Mex) 2 1 – –
L 26 Sept Atlante Monterrey 4 2 3.00 2.42
W 20 Sept Monterrey Cruz Azul 1 0 2.27 3.00
D 13 Sept Monterrey Tigres UANL 0 0 2.18 3.40
L 7 Sept Toluca(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 0 2.07 3.50
D 3 Sept Club America(Mex) Monterrey(Mex) 2 2 2.16 3.45
L 31 Aug Monterrey Atl. San Luis 1 3 1.87 5.10
W 26 Aug Monterrey(Mex) Chicago Fire(Usa) 2 1 2.72 2.45
W 16 Aug Monterrey Juarez 6 1 1.62 5.50
W 13 Aug Monterrey Nashville SC 2 1 2.02 3.45

Past meetings

Leon
1·0·4
Monterrey
  • Feb 2026 Monterrey 1 - 0 Leon
  • Aug 2025 Leon 1 - 3 Monterrey
  • Apr 2025 Leon 0 - 2 Monterrey
  • Nov 2024 Monterrey 2 - 1 Leon
  • Apr 2024 Leon 2 - 0 Monterrey

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day