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Leon vs Atl. San Luis prediction — Liga MX

Liga MX · Mexico
1 1.83
X 3.85
2 4.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.24 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Leon 53%@1.83
Draw 24%@3.85
Atl. San Luis 23%@4.15
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 80%@1.24
Under 1.5 20%@4.96
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.67
No 42%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 56%@1.50
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LeonModelAtl. San Luis
1.08xG0.93
48%Ball possession52%
12Shots12
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made10
LeonRealAtl. San Luis
1.53xG1.41
42%Ball possession58%
23Shots13
9Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
11Fouls made8
LeonReal · ModelAtl. San Luis
1.531.08xG1.410.93
42%48%Ball possession58%52%
2312Shots1312
96Shots on goal25
54Corner kicks23
12Yellow cards21
01Offside calls21
1111Fouls made810

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LeonPer gameAtl. San Luis
1.5Goals for / game1.3
1.0Goals against / game2.3
46%Ball possession53%
12.4Shots per game13.3
3.8Corners per game3.9
1.09Expected goals0.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LeonRateAtl. San Luis
70%Wins10%
70%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Leon WDLWL
W 28 Sept Leon Juarez 2 1 1.57 6.90
D 21 Sept Queretaro Leon 1 1 2.72 2.65
L 11 Sept UNAM Pumas Leon 3 1 2.20 3.30
W 6 Sept Leon(Mex) Club America(Mex) 1 0 3.30 2.15
L 3 Sept Toluca(Mex) Leon(Mex) 2 0 1.73 4.70
D 29 Aug Atlante Leon 1 1 2.57 2.65
W 26 Aug Leon(Mex) Real Salt Lake(Usa) 3 0 2.95 2.50
W 22 Aug Leon Monterrey 1 0 3.00 2.27
W 18 Aug Necaxa Leon 1 2 2.72 2.70
W 13 Aug Inter Miami Leon 2 3 1.91 3.85
Atl. San Luis WWLWD
W 27 Sept UNAM Pumas Atl. San Luis 2 3 1.98 3.60
W 20 Sept Atl. San Luis Necaxa 3 1 2.30 3.05
L 6 Sept Atl. San Luis Guadalaja 0 3 4.50 1.87
W 31 Aug Monterrey Atl. San Luis 1 3 1.87 5.10
D 24 Aug Atl. San Luis Pachuca 1 1 3.15 2.23
L 17 Aug Club America Atl. San Luis 3 0 1.80 5.20
D 13 Aug Orlando City Atl. San Luis 2 2 1.85 4.20
L 10 Aug Nashville SC Atl. San Luis 4 1 1.78 4.50
L 6 Aug Inter Miami Atl. San Luis 4 2 1.33 8.00
D 1 Aug Atl. San Luis Club Tijuana 0 0 2.25 3.20

Past meetings

Leon
4·0·1
Atl. San Luis
  • Mar 2026 Atl. San Luis 1 - 2 Leon
  • Jul 2025 Leon 0 - 1 Atl. San Luis
  • Feb 2025 Atl. San Luis 1 - 2 Leon
  • Sept 2024 Leon 1 - 0 Atl. San Luis
  • Feb 2024 Leon 1 - 0 Atl. San Luis

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Club America 11 +11 22
2 Toluca 11 +11 19
3 Guadalaja 11 +7 19
4 Queretaro 10 +6 19
5 Leon 11 +2 18
6 Atlas 11 -2 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 +1 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 +1 16
9 Puebla 11 -1 15
10 Monterrey 10 +3 14
11 Pachuca 11 +4 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 -2 13
13 Atl. San Luis 11 -4 13
14 Atlante 11 -3 12
15 Tigres UANL 11 -3 11
16 Santos Laguna 11 -5 11
17 Necaxa 11 -8 9
18 Juarez 11 -18 4