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Leeds vs Newcastle prediction — Premier League

Premier League · England
Leeds €407.55m
Full time 4 : 1
Newcastle €606.10m
1 2.40
X 3.55
2 3.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.24 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Leeds 41%@2.40
Draw 27%@3.55
Newcastle 32%@3.05
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.24
Under 1.5 25%@3.72
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.59
No 45%@2.48
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.73
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LeedsModelNewcastle
1.85xG1.32
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots14
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
9Fouls made12
LeedsRealNewcastle
1.91xG0.85
51%Ball possession49%
15Shots7
6Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
8Fouls made13
LeedsReal · ModelNewcastle
1.911.85xG0.851.32
51%47%Ball possession49%53%
1513Shots714
66Shots on goal56
54Corner kicks56
11Yellow cards22
21Offside calls31
89Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LeedsPer gameNewcastle
2.0Goals for / game1.6
1.1Goals against / game1.7
47%Ball possession55%
11.9Shots per game14.7
4.4Corners per game8.5
1.58Expected goals1.42

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LeedsRateNewcastle
60%Wins40%
80%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Leeds DLDDW
D 20 Sept Leeds Crystal Palace 0 0 1.75 5.00
L 9 Sept Chelsea Leeds 6 3 1.95 3.95
D 5 Sept Brighton Leeds 1 1 2.02 3.90
D 30 Aug Leeds Brentford 1 1 2.88 2.47
W 25 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 2 2.47 3.05
W 22 Aug Nottingham Leeds 0 1 2.50 3.05
W 15 Aug Leeds(Eng) Augsburg(Ger) 4 0 1.72 4.30
D 12 Aug Leeds Manchester Utd 1 1 3.45 1.92
W 8 Aug Leeds RB Leipzig 2 0 – –
W 2 Aug Liverpool Leeds 2 4 2.02 3.90
Newcastle WWDWW
W 19 Sept Newcastle Hull 2 1 1.65 5.30
W 8 Sept Millwall Newcastle 0 1 8.25 1.42
D 5 Sept Newcastle Bournemouth 2 2 2.17 3.40
W 29 Aug Tottenham Newcastle 0 2 2.22 3.15
W 26 Aug Newcastle West Brom 3 2 1.33 10.50
D 23 Aug Newcastle Liverpool 2 2 3.90 1.95
D 16 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Strasbourg(Fra) 1 1 1.92 3.70
L 15 Aug Newcastle(Eng) Leverkusen(Ger) 1 2 2.26 2.92
L 12 Aug Newcastle Everton 1 3 2.25 2.87
W 8 Aug Valencia Newcastle 1 2 2.95 2.25

Past meetings

Leeds
0·1·1
Newcastle
  • Jan 2026 Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
  • Aug 2025 Leeds 0 - 0 Newcastle

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 +8 16
2 Arsenal 6 +4 13
3 Brighton 6 +11 11
4 Brentford 6 +6 10
5 Leeds 6 +4 10
6 Liverpool 6 +3 10
7 Everton 6 +3 10
8 Hull 6 +2 9
9 Newcastle 6 0 9
10 Chelsea 6 -2 8
11 Ipswich 6 -4 7
12 Manchester Utd 6 0 6
13 Nottingham 6 -1 6
14 Sunderland 6 -4 5
15 Crystal Palace 6 -5 5
16 Aston Villa 6 -5 5
17 Bournemouth 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 6 -9 4
19 Fulham 6 -3 3
20 Tottenham 6 -6 3
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