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Jelgava vs Super Nova prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
Jelgava €2.78m
Full time 0 : 1
Super Nova €3.08m
1 1.90
X 3.55
2 3.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
86%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.24 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Jelgava 70%@1.90
Draw 15%@3.55
Super Nova 15%@3.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.68
Under 3.5 73%@1.36
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.68
No 56%@2.05
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 60%@1.85
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

JelgavaModelSuper Nova
1.36xG1.04
56%Ball possession44%
14Shots9
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made14
JelgavaRealSuper Nova
0.24xG0.89
58%Ball possession42%
6Shots13
0Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks10
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls5
16Fouls made13
JelgavaReal · ModelSuper Nova
0.241.36xG0.891.04
58%56%Ball possession42%44%
614Shots139
06Shots on goal35
34Corner kicks103
12Yellow cards22
12Offside calls52
1614Fouls made1314

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

JelgavaPer gameSuper Nova
1.5Goals for / game1.0
1.5Goals against / game1.5
46%Ball possession45%
11.5Shots per game10.8
3.8Corners per game4.2
1.23Expected goals1.28

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

JelgavaRateSuper Nova
40%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Jelgava LDWWL
L 19 Sept Jelgava Riga 0 1 7.50 1.33
D 12 Sept Grobina Jelgava 0 0 2.48 2.73
W 29 Aug Tukums Jelgava 1 4 2.72 2.35
W 22 Aug Ogre United Jelgava 2 3 3.35 2.12
L 9 Aug Jelgava Auda 0 1 3.40 2.12
L 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 20 Jul Jelgava Rigas FS 0 1 9.00 1.30
L 12 Jul Rigas FS Jelgava 2 0 – –
L 3 Jul Riga Jelgava 3 0 1.17 14.00
Super Nova LLWDD
L 20 Sept Ogre United Super Nova 1 0 3.00 2.18
L 15 Sept Super Nova Riga 0 1 10.00 1.25
W 10 Sept Super Nova Tukums 1 0 2.25 2.90
D 29 Aug Auda Super Nova 1 1 1.50 5.80
D 22 Aug Super Nova BFC Daugavpils 0 0 3.95 1.82
L 16 Aug Super Nova Rigas FS 0 1 9.50 1.22
L 9 Aug Super Nova FK Liepaja 1 2 3.35 1.98
W 20 Jul Super Nova Grobina 2 0 2.70 2.68
W 11 Jul Tukums Super Nova 1 2 2.45 2.65
L 6 Jul Super Nova Ogre United 1 2 1.56 4.85

Past meetings

Jelgava
3·3·0
Super Nova
  • Jun 2026 Super Nova 1 - 5 Jelgava
  • May 2026 Jelgava 1 - 0 Super Nova
  • Mar 2026 Super Nova 1 - 1 Jelgava
  • Oct 2025 Super Nova 1 - 1 Jelgava
  • Jul 2025 Jelgava 1 - 0 Super Nova
  • May 2025 Super Nova 0 - 0 Jelgava

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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