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Jelgava vs Riga prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
Jelgava €2.78m
Full time 0 : 1
Riga €15.48m
1 7.50
X 5.10
2 1.33

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Riga win 2 Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Jelgava 6%@7.50
Draw 8%@5.10
Riga 86%@1.33
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 68%@1.49
Under 2.5 32%@3.17
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.83
No 44%@1.92
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 2.5 63%@1.59
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

JelgavaModelRiga
1.09xG1.53
48%Ball possession52%
10Shots17
4Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
14Fouls made14
JelgavaRealRiga
0.41xG1.67
42%Ball possession58%
6Shots17
0Shots on goal4
1Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
0Offside calls3
9Fouls made12
JelgavaReal · ModelRiga
0.411.09xG1.671.53
42%48%Ball possession58%52%
610Shots1717
04Shots on goal46
14Corner kicks47
32Yellow cards32
01Offside calls32
914Fouls made1214

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

JelgavaPer gameRiga
0.8Goals for / game1.9
1.5Goals against / game1.4
50%Ball possession58%
11.4Shots per game15.9
3.5Corners per game7.1
1.13Expected goals1.61

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

JelgavaRateRiga
20%Wins40%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Jelgava DLWWL
D 12 Sept Grobina Jelgava 0 0 2.48 2.73
L 5 Sept Jelgava Super Nova 0 1 1.90 3.70
W 29 Aug Tukums Jelgava 1 4 2.72 2.35
W 22 Aug Ogre United Jelgava 2 3 3.35 2.12
L 9 Aug Jelgava Auda 0 1 3.40 2.12
L 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 20 Jul Jelgava Rigas FS 0 1 9.00 1.30
L 12 Jul Rigas FS Jelgava 2 0 – –
L 3 Jul Riga Jelgava 3 0 1.17 14.00
Riga WWDDW
W 3 Oct Aris(Cyp) Riga(Lva) 1 2 – –
W 15 Sept Super Nova Riga 0 1 10.00 1.25
D 11 Sept Riga Auda 2 2 1.36 7.50
D 7 Sept Riga BFC Daugavpils 1 1 1.22 11.00
W 3 Sept Rigas FS Riga 2 3 2.27 2.95
L 31 Aug FK Liepaja Riga 3 2 6.40 1.41
W 27 Aug Riga(Lva) Klaksvik(Fro) 2 1 1.42 7.60
D 23 Aug Rigas FS Riga 3 3 2.48 2.80
D 20 Aug Klaksvik(Fro) Riga(Lva) 0 0 3.50 2.00
W 16 Aug Riga Metta 4 1 – –

Past meetings

Jelgava
0·1·5
Riga
  • Jul 2026 Riga 3 - 0 Jelgava
  • May 2026 Riga 2 - 2 Jelgava
  • Apr 2026 Jelgava 0 - 8 Riga
  • Sept 2025 Jelgava 2 - 3 Riga
  • Jul 2025 Riga 3 - 0 Jelgava
  • May 2025 Riga 2 - 0 Jelgava

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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