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Jelgava vs FK Liepaja prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
Jelgava €2.17m
Full time 0 : 2
FK Liepaja €5.60m
1 3.00
X 3.35
2 2.17

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
62%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.45 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Jelgava 24%@3.00
Draw 43%@3.35
FK Liepaja 33%@2.17
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 38%@2.37
Under 3.5 62%@1.45
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.57
No 56%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.60
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

JelgavaModelFK Liepaja
0.89xG1.60
48%Ball possession52%
11Shots12
5Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
JelgavaRealFK Liepaja
0.64xG3.55
57%Ball possession43%
12Shots23
1Shots on goal9
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards4
0Offside calls4
11Fouls made14
JelgavaReal · ModelFK Liepaja
0.640.89xG3.551.60
57%48%Ball possession43%52%
1211Shots2312
15Shots on goal96
44Corner kicks45
22Yellow cards42
01Offside calls41
1112Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

JelgavaPer gameFK Liepaja
1.4Goals for / game1.0
1.3Goals against / game1.5
40%Ball possession47%
12.4Shots per game11.8
5.0Corners per game4.8
1.23Expected goals1.62

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

JelgavaRateFK Liepaja
30%Wins40%
90%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Jelgava LDLWW
L 19 Sept Jelgava Riga 0 1 7.50 1.33
D 12 Sept Grobina Jelgava 0 0 2.48 2.73
L 5 Sept Jelgava Super Nova 0 1 1.90 3.70
W 29 Aug Tukums Jelgava 1 4 2.72 2.35
W 22 Aug Ogre United Jelgava 2 3 3.35 2.12
L 9 Aug Jelgava Auda 0 1 3.40 2.12
L 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 20 Jul Jelgava Rigas FS 0 1 9.00 1.30
L 12 Jul Rigas FS Jelgava 2 0 – –
L 3 Jul Riga Jelgava 3 0 1.17 14.00
FK Liepaja DDDWL
D 19 Sept FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils 0 0 2.15 3.10
D 11 Sept Ogre United FK Liepaja 2 2 4.50 1.65
D 7 Sept Rigas FS FK Liepaja 0 0 1.32 8.80
W 31 Aug FK Liepaja Riga 3 2 6.40 1.41
L 25 Aug Auda FK Liepaja 1 0 2.00 3.50
W 21 Aug FK Liepaja Grobina 3 1 1.56 5.30
W 9 Aug Super Nova FK Liepaja 1 2 3.35 1.98
L 2 Aug Tukums FK Liepaja 2 1 3.10 2.00
L 30 Jul Austria Vienna FK Liepaja 3 1 1.27 12.00
L 23 Jul FK Liepaja Austria Vienna 0 2 7.50 1.45

Past meetings

Jelgava
0·3·3
FK Liepaja
  • May 2026 Jelgava 1 - 1 FK Liepaja
  • Apr 2026 FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Jelgava
  • Feb 2026 FK Liepaja 2 - 1 Jelgava
  • Oct 2025 FK Liepaja 2 - 2 Jelgava
  • Aug 2025 Jelgava 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
  • May 2025 Jelgava 0 - 1 FK Liepaja

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19
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